Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction

Andrey Rublev, currently ranked 14th, has a form index of 83.54 and an Elo rating of 2189.98, indicating solid performance overall. His cumulative fatigue stands at 522 minutes, which is the same as Alcaraz's, suggesting neither player has an advantage in terms of rest. However, Rublev's surface strength index is notably lower at 26.92 compared to Alcaraz's 58.91, highlighting a significant disparity in their effectiveness on grass. Moreover, while Rublev's mean serve index of 97.89 is higher than Alcaraz's 94.68, their mean return indices are closely matched, with Rublev at 87.41 and Alcaraz at 87.53. In their recent performances, Rublev won his last three matches convincingly against Adrian Mannarino, Lloyd Harris, and Laslo Djere, although he faced a tough challenge against Djere, losing three sets in that match. Conversely, Alcaraz has also showcased dominance in his last three outings, defeating Jan-Lennard Struff, Oliver Tarvet, and Fabio Fognini, with only a slight setback against Fognini, where he lost two sets. Both players have proven they can handle pressure, but Alcaraz's consistency and higher form index provide him with a slight edge.