Wimbledon Great Britain Grass Grand Slam Round of 64

Oliver Tarvet vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction

Oliver Tarvet

Rank: #1000
14%
VS

Carlos Alcaraz

Rank: #2
86%
Predicted Games Played: 35.0
Predicted Winner: Carlos Alcaraz

Ranking Trends

Oliver Tarvet

  • Current Rank: #1000 (None)
  • 3 Months Ago: #741 (2025-03-03)
  • 6 Months Ago: #639 (2024-12-30)
  • 9 Months Ago: #626 (2024-09-30)
  • 12 Months Ago: #645 (2024-07-01)

Carlos Alcaraz

  • Current Rank: #2 (2025-06-30)
  • 3 Months Ago: #3 (2025-03-31)
  • 6 Months Ago: #3 (2024-12-30)
  • 9 Months Ago: #2 (2024-09-30)
  • 12 Months Ago: #3 (2024-07-01)

Player Metrics

Oliver Tarvet

Form Index: 63.3
ELO Rating: 144.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1682.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 348.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 0.3
Clay: 0.3
Grass: 1.2
Serve Rating: 93.1
Return Rating: 90.4

Carlos Alcaraz

Form Index: 84.2
ELO Rating: 6661.2
Glicko2 Rating: 2363.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 54.6
Clay: 60.8
Grass: 58.9
Serve Rating: 94.8
Return Rating: 87.6

Recent Matches

Oliver Tarvet
✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Leandro Riedi (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Alexander Blockx (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs None (0-0) None None 0 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs None (0-0) None None 0 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs None (0-0) None None 0 min

Carlos Alcaraz
✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Fabio Fognini (3-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Jiri Lehecka (2-1) grass London 128 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Roberto Bautista Agut (2-0) grass London 89 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Arthur Rinderknech (2-0) grass London 80 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Jaume Munar (2-1) grass London 203 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Oliver Tarvet
vs
0
Carlos Alcaraz
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Oliver Tarvet and Carlos Alcaraz at Wimbledon marks a significant clash in the Round of 64 on the grass surface. With Alcaraz being the higher-ranked player at 2, he is heavily favored to win this encounter, boasting an 85.57% probability of victory compared to Tarvet's 14.43%. The predicted total number of games played in this match is approximately 35.

Match Analysis

Oliver Tarvet enters this match ranked 1000, with a form index of 63.34 and an Elo rating of 143.98. He has shown commendable resilience, especially considering his cumulative fatigue of 348 minutes from the current tournament. His surface strength index at 1.24 indicates a limited advantage on grass, which may hinder his performance against a top-tier opponent. Notably, Tarvet's mean serve index of 93.12 and mean return index of 90.44 reflect his moderate capabilities, yet they fall short when compared to Alcaraz. On the other hand, Carlos Alcaraz's credentials are impressive, with a rank of 2 and a form index of 84.16. His Elo rating stands out at 6661.20, showcasing his elite status in the game. With only 174 minutes of cumulative fatigue, Alcaraz is well-positioned for this match. His mean serve index of 94.81 gives him a slight edge over Tarvet, while his mean return index of 87.61 indicates a superior return game. In their recent performances, Alcaraz has won all his last three matches, demonstrating consistent form and adaptability on grass.

Final Prediction

Carlos Alcaraz's superior ranking, form, and overall game statistics provide him with a significant edge over Oliver Tarvet. The key factor to watch will be Alcaraz's ability to maintain pressure on Tarvet's serve, as his higher mean return index suggests he could capitalize on any weaknesses in Tarvet's game.