Casper Ruud vs Hamad Medjedovic: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Ruud arrives as the higher-ranked player (No. 17) with an Elo of 1921 and a surface strength index of 45.22, indicating a clear comfort on clay relative to his opponent. His form index sits at 60.18 and his mean return index (88.85) is marginally better than Medjedovic’s; both players show very similar mean serve indices, so serve-firepower should not be a decisive differentiator. Medjedovic, ranked 56 with an Elo of 1755, brings a higher form index (68.08) and a lower surface strength index (28.39), suggesting he is in good recent nick but less naturally suited to the clay court characteristics. Both players share an identical tournament fatigue figure (174 minutes), after long last-round encounters, which levels the physical ledger heading into this match. Recent results show Ruud with two wins and one loss across his last three matches, while Medjedovic also posts two wins and one loss; Ruud’s wins include a five-set test at Roland Garros, whereas Medjedovic’s last outing was a four-set victory. Those recent patterns underline resilience on both sides without either player running away with momentum.