Toronto Canada Hard Masters 1000 Round of 32

Nuno Borges vs Casper Ruud Prediction

Nuno Borges

Rank: #40
36%
VS

Casper Ruud

Rank: #12
64%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Casper Ruud

Ranking Trends

Nuno Borges

  • Current Rank: #40 (2025-07-21)
  • 3 Months Ago: #41 (2025-04-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #37 (2025-01-27)
  • 9 Months Ago: #34 (2024-10-28)
  • 12 Months Ago: #43 (2024-07-29)

Casper Ruud

  • Current Rank: #12 (2025-07-21)
  • 3 Months Ago: #15 (2025-04-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #5 (2025-01-27)
  • 9 Months Ago: #8 (2024-10-28)
  • 12 Months Ago: #9 (2024-07-29)

Player Metrics

Nuno Borges

Form Index: 50.9
ELO Rating: 1299.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1608.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 169.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.8
Clay: 11.2
Grass: 10.3
Serve Rating: 96.6
Return Rating: 87.3

Casper Ruud

Form Index: 52.7
ELO Rating: 3439.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1794.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 81.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 21.5
Clay: 30.6
Grass: 35.0
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 85.7

Recent Matches

Nuno Borges
✅ ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Facundo Bagnis (2-1) hard Toronto 169 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Filip Misolic (1-2) clay Bastad 119 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Karen Khachanov (2-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Billy Harris (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Francisco Cerundolo (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Casper Ruud
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Roman Safiullin (2-0) hard Toronto 81 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo (1-2) clay Gstaad 129 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Dominic Stricker (2-0) clay Gstaad 104 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Nuno Borges (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Albert Ramos-Vinolas (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Nuno Borges
vs
1
Casper Ruud
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
1 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The match between Nuno Borges and Casper Ruud takes place in the Round of 32 at the Toronto Masters 1000, a hard court event in Canada. Casper Ruud is predicted to emerge victorious with a probability of 64.42%, while Nuno Borges has a 35.58% chance of winning. The anticipated total number of games played is 23.

Match Analysis

Currently ranked 40th, Nuno Borges has a form index of 50.95 and an Elo rating of 1299.48, reflecting a solid but inconsistent performance. His cumulative fatigue level stands at 169 minutes, indicating he may be feeling the strain of recent matches. Borges has a surface strength index of 11.77, suggesting he may struggle on hard courts compared to his opponents. His mean serve index of 96.55 and mean return index of 87.34 show he possesses a decent serve, although his return game is slightly weaker. On the other hand, Casper Ruud, ranked 12th, has a higher form index of 52.71 and an impressive Elo rating of 3438.98. With only 81 minutes of fatigue accumulated, Ruud appears to be in better physical condition heading into this match. His surface strength index of 21.53 indicates a strong command on hard courts. The difference in their mean serve indices is minimal, but Ruud's mean return index of 85.73 is lower than Borges's, which could impact the dynamics of their exchanges. Overall, both players have had mixed results in their last three matches; Borges has won one out of three, while Ruud has also secured one victory but in his last encounter.

Final Prediction

Casper Ruud holds the advantage primarily due to his superior ranking, Elo rating, and better physical condition, coupled with a stronger performance on hard surfaces. A key factor to observe will be Ruud's ability to handle Borges’s serve, as both players have similar serving capabilities, but a slight edge in return strategies could define the match's outcome.