Delray Beach FL, U.S.A. Hard Atp 250 Round of 32

Nuno Borges vs Coleman Wong: AI Prediction | Games, Aces & Double Faults

Nuno Borges

Rank: #44
64%
VS

Coleman Wong

Rank: #136
36%
Expected Total Games: 23.7
Predicted Winner: Nuno Borges

Ranking Trends

Nuno Borges

  • Current Rank: #44 (2026-02-09)
  • 3 Months Ago: #47 (2025-11-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #42 (2025-08-18)
  • 9 Months Ago: #41 (2025-05-19)
  • 12 Months Ago: #39 (2025-02-17)

Coleman Wong

  • Current Rank: #136 (2026-02-09)
  • 3 Months Ago: #143 (2025-11-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #174 (2025-08-18)
  • 9 Months Ago: #175 (2025-05-19)
  • 12 Months Ago: #165 (2025-02-17)

Player Metrics

Nuno Borges

Form Index: 52.5
ELO Rating: 1215.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1642.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.8
Clay: 9.4
Grass: 10.2
Serve Rating: 73.3
Return Rating: 55.5

Coleman Wong

Form Index: 66.6
ELO Rating: 537.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1552.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 153.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.1
Clay: 3.0
Grass: 3.4
Serve Rating: 96.5
Return Rating: 88.1

Recent Matches

Nuno Borges
❌ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Learner Tien (0-3) hard Australian Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Jordan Thompson (3-1) hard Australian Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Felix Auger-Aliassime (2-1) hard Australian Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Eliot Spizzirri (0-2) hard Auckland 98 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry (2-1) hard Auckland 149 min

Coleman Wong
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Tristan Schoolkate (2-0) hard Delray Beach 84 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Yoshihito Nishioka (2-0) hard Delray Beach 69 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Elias Ymer (1-2) hard Australian Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz (2-0) hard Australian Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Ugo Blanchet (2-0) hard Australian Open 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Nuno Borges
vs
0
Coleman Wong
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In Delray Beach, Florida, the round of 32 on outdoor hard courts pits 44th-ranked Nuno Borges against 136th-ranked Coleman Wong in this 250-level event. The model favors Nuno Borges to win (64.44% probability) over Coleman Wong (35.56%), with a predicted total of about 23.66 games in the match.

Match Analysis

Borges enters with a higher ranking (44) and a substantially stronger Elo (1215.20) compared with Wong (137 / Elo 537.68). Borges’ form index sits at 52.52 versus Wong’s 66.59, indicating Wong has been trending well recently despite the ranking gap. Fatigue is a clear differentiator: Borges shows 0 minutes accumulated in this event, while Wong carries 153 minutes on court, which could matter in tight exchanges late in sets. Borges also holds a higher surface strength index on hard courts (10.78 vs 6.14). Serve and return profiles diverge sharply. Wong’s mean serve index (96.46) is markedly higher than Borges’ (73.29) — a gap greater than 5 points — and his mean return index (88.15) also outpaces Borges’ return (55.53) by a large margin. These contrasts suggest Wong can both serve big and return well, while Borges brings steadier all-court metrics. Over the last three matches, Borges has two wins and a recent hard-court loss at the Australian Open (lost to Learner Tien after earlier wins over Thompson and Auger-Aliassime), while Wong won back-to-back matches at Delray Beach in straight sets (against Schoolkate and Nishioka) after an earlier loss at the Australian Open.

Total Games Predictions

🎾
Expected Total Games in Match 23.7 Most likely outcome: 23 games

📊 Total Games Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each total games outcome

Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of total games ≤ X

Aces and Double Faults Predictions

The aces prediction for this hard-court match is moderately high: a predicted aces total of about 21.23. That tally reflects Coleman Wong’s much higher serve rating and suggests he’ll contribute the bulk of the ace count. The double faults prediction is lower, with expected double faults around 4.86 for the match. On a medium-paced hard surface, the expected double faults and predicted aces balance out: hard courts favor servers more than clay but less than grass, supporting the anticipated ace volume.
🎯
Expected Total Aces 21.2 Most likely: 21 aces
❌
Expected Total Double Faults 4.9 Most likely: 4 double faults

🎯 Aces Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each ace count outcome

Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of aces ≤ X

❌ Double Faults Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each double fault count outcome

Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of double faults ≤ X

New to probability charts? Learn how to interpret distribution and CDF curves

Final Prediction

Borges’ ranking, superior Elo and fresher legs give him the edge in the model, despite Wong’s impressive serve and recent form. Watch Wong’s serve advantage and early return aggressiveness — how those factors play out will be the key determinant of whether the match stays short or stretches into more games.

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