Cincinnati
OH, U.S.A.
Hard
Masters 1000
Round of 128
Colton Smith vs Fabian Marozsan Prediction
Colton Smith
Rank: #136
40%
VS
Fabian Marozsan
Rank: #56
60%
Predicted Games Played:
22.0
Predicted Winner:
Fabian Marozsan
Ranking Trends
Colton Smith
- Current Rank: #136 (2025-07-28)
- 3 Months Ago: #162 (2025-05-05)
- 6 Months Ago: #259 (2025-02-03)
- 9 Months Ago: #362 (2024-11-04)
- 12 Months Ago: #573 (2024-08-12)
Fabian Marozsan
- Current Rank: #56 (2025-07-28)
- 3 Months Ago: #61 (2025-05-05)
- 6 Months Ago: #57 (2025-02-03)
- 9 Months Ago: #59 (2024-11-04)
- 12 Months Ago: #50 (2024-08-12)
Player Metrics
Colton Smith
Form Index:
52.1
ELO Rating:
378.3
Glicko2 Rating:
1684.4
Current Fatigue (minutes):
175.0
Surface Strength:
Hard:
3.3
Clay:
1.8
Grass:
1.1
Serve Rating:
96.8
Return Rating:
87.6
Fabian Marozsan
Form Index:
48.9
ELO Rating:
1274.1
Glicko2 Rating:
1607.5
Current Fatigue (minutes):
0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard:
10.9
Clay:
10.0
Grass:
7.9
Serve Rating:
95.5
Return Rating:
87.3
Recent Matches
Colton Smith
- Last Match: vs Nikoloz Basilashvili (2-0) hard Cincinnati 78 min
- 2nd Last Match: vs Tristan Schoolkate (2-0) hard Cincinnati 97 min
- 3rd Last Match: vs Learner Tien (0-2) hard Toronto 91 min
- 4th Last Match: vs Patrick Kypson (2-0) hard Toronto 88 min
- 5th Last Match: vs Mackenzie McDonald (0-2) hard Washington 65 min
Fabian Marozsan
- Last Match: vs Flavio Cobolli (1-2) hard Toronto 110 min
- 2nd Last Match: vs Felix Auger-Aliassime (2-0) hard Toronto 101 min
- 3rd Last Match: vs Hugo Dellien (2-0) hard Toronto 63 min
- 4th Last Match: vs Gabriel Diallo (0-2) hard Washington 73 min
- 5th Last Match: vs Benjamin Bonzi (2-0) hard Washington 77 min
Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)
0
Colton Smith
vs
0
Fabian Marozsan
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming match at the Cincinnati Masters 1000 features Colton Smith facing off against Fabian Marozsan on hard courts. With both players striving to progress in the tournament, Marozsan is predicted to win with a probability of 59.97%, while Smith has a 40.03% chance of victory. The anticipated total number of games played in this matchup is 22.
Match Analysis
Colton Smith, currently ranked 136, has a form index of 52.12 and an Elo rating of 378.31. His fatigue level stands at 175 minutes, indicating he has been on court quite a bit in recent matches. Smith's surface strength index is 3.27, with a mean serve index of 96.81 and a mean return index of 87.57. Notably, there is only a marginal difference in their serve indices, while the return indices are quite comparable, suggesting a balanced dynamic in that area.
Fabian Marozsan, ranked 56, has a form index of 48.86 and an Elo rating of 1274.08, showcasing his higher ranking and consistent performance. Importantly, Marozsan comes into this match with no cumulative fatigue, which is a significant advantage. His surface strength index is considerably higher at 10.94, and he has a mean serve index of 95.49, combined with a mean return index of 87.29. This indicates that while both players have similar return capabilities, Marozsan's superior surface strength could play a crucial role in the outcome.
Final Prediction
Fabian Marozsan's edge in overall ranking, lack of fatigue, and superior surface strength index provide him with a significant advantage heading into this match. Observers should pay close attention to how both players handle their serve games, as any significant advantage in service could dictate the pace and outcome of the match.