Mallorca Spain Grass Atp 250 Round of 16

Corentin Moutet vs Daniel Altmaier Prediction

Corentin Moutet

Rank: #89
53%
VS

Daniel Altmaier

Rank: #52
47%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Corentin Moutet

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Ranking Trends

Corentin Moutet

  • Current #89 2025-06-16
  • 3 mo ago #76 2025-03-17
  • 6 mo ago #70 2024-12-23
  • 9 mo ago #70 2024-09-23
  • 12 mo ago #55 2024-06-24

Daniel Altmaier

  • Current #52 2025-06-16
  • 3 mo ago #82 2025-03-17
  • 6 mo ago #89 2024-12-23
  • 9 mo ago #84 2024-09-23
  • 12 mo ago #77 2024-06-24

Player Metrics

Corentin Moutet

Form Index: 58.2
ELO Rating: 1173.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1596.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 157.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.7
Clay: 9.3
Grass: 7.8
Serve Rating: 96.5
Return Rating: 88.7

Daniel Altmaier

Form Index: 68.2
ELO Rating: 999.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1624.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 107.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.3
Clay: 8.7
Grass: 5.7
Serve Rating: 95.8
Return Rating: 87.8

Recent Matches

Corentin Moutet
✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅

Daniel Altmaier
✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Fabio Fognini (2-1) grass Mallorca 107 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Frances Tiafoe (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Hamad Medjedovic (3-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Vit Kopriva (3-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Taylor Fritz (3-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

2
Corentin Moutet
vs
0
Daniel Altmaier
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
1 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The Round of 16 match in the Mallorca tournament between Corentin Moutet and Daniel Altmaier will unfold on grass, a surface that adds an interesting dynamic to their encounter. Corentin Moutet is slightly favored to win with a probability of 52.87%, while Daniel Altmaier holds a 47.13% chance. The predicted total number of games played in this tightly contested match is set at 23.0.

Match Analysis

Corentin Moutet, currently ranked 89, has a form index of 58.20 and an Elo rating of 1173.57. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament stands at 157 minutes, indicating some wear from prior matches. Moutet exhibits a surface strength index of 7.81, signifying decent adaptability to grass courts. His mean serve index of 96.55 slightly edges out Altmaier's 95.77, but the difference is not significant enough to be a deciding factor. Moutet's return index of 88.67 also shows a superior ability to handle opponents' serves compared to Altmaier's 87.83. Daniel Altmaier, ranked 52, has a higher form index of 68.21 and an Elo rating of 999.89. His cumulative fatigue is lower at 107 minutes, suggesting he may be in better condition heading into this match. Altmaier's recent performances have been mixed; he won against Fabio Fognini in Mallorca but struggled against Frances Tiafoe at Roland Garros. Moutet's recent form is similarly varied, with a notable victory over Taylor Fritz in London, though he also faced a defeat against Jacob Fearnley in his last outing.

Final Prediction

Corentin Moutet's slight edge in serve and return indices, combined with his recent match experience on grass, gives him a favorable position against Daniel Altmaier. However, both players are closely matched, and their respective fatigue levels could play a critical role in the outcome. The key factor to watch will be how effectively each player can leverage their serve throughout the match.

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