Toronto Canada Hard Masters 1000 Round of 128

Corentin Moutet vs Jenson Brooksby Prediction

Corentin Moutet

Rank: #59
55%
VS

Jenson Brooksby

Rank: #102
45%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Corentin Moutet

Player Metrics

Corentin Moutet

Form Index: 51.1
ELO Rating: 1275.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1632.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.4
Clay: 9.3
Grass: 8.3
Serve Rating: 96.3
Return Rating: 88.6

Jenson Brooksby

Form Index: 38.6
ELO Rating: 970.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1580.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 1.6
Clay: 4.9
Grass: 4.3
Serve Rating: 94.5
Return Rating: 88.1

Recent Matches

Corentin Moutet

  • Last Match: vs Alex de Minaur (0-2) hard Washington 104 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Daniil Medvedev (2-1) hard Washington 145 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Daniel Evans (2-0) hard Washington 100 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Alexandre Muller (1-0) hard Washington 57 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Yibing Wu (1-2) hard Washington 167 min

Jenson Brooksby

  • Last Match: vs Yoshihito Nishioka (1-2) hard Washington 158 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Joao Fonseca (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Tallon Griekspoor (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Taylor Fritz (0-2) grass Eastbourne 86 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Ugo Humbert (2-1) grass Eastbourne 167 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Corentin Moutet
vs
0
Jenson Brooksby
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 128 at the Masters 1000 tournament in Toronto, Corentin Moutet is set to face Jenson Brooksby on hard courts. The predicted winner is Corentin Moutet, with a 54.91% probability of winning compared to Brooksby's 45.09%. The match is expected to feature a total of approximately 22 games.

Match Analysis

Corentin Moutet holds a rank of 59, a form index of 51.14, and an Elo rating of 1275. His cumulative fatigue is currently at 0.0 minutes, indicating he has not yet exerted himself in this tournament. Moutet's surface strength index stands at 9.43, showcasing his proficiency on hard courts, while his mean serve index of 96.32 and mean return index of 88.61 further highlight his capabilities. In contrast, Jenson Brooksby, ranked 102, has a lower form index of 38.56 and an Elo rating of 970. His surface strength index is only 1.56, which significantly diminishes his effectiveness on hard courts. Although Brooksby's mean serve index of 94.46 is competitive, Moutet’s superior serve index of over 5 points gives him an edge in this matchup. Over their last three matches, Moutet has shown a mixed performance, winning two out of three matches, including a notable victory against Daniil Medvedev. However, his last match resulted in a loss to Alex de Minaur. On the other hand, Brooksby has struggled recently, losing his last two matches, both on hard courts, which could affect his confidence going into this encounter.

Final Prediction

Moutet's higher rank, better form, and superior statistics on hard surfaces suggest he has the advantage heading into the match against Brooksby. A key factor to watch will be Moutet's serve, particularly how he leverages his strong serve index against Brooksby’s comparatively weaker return game.