London Great Britain Grass Atp 500 Round of 32

Corentin Moutet vs Taylor Fritz Prediction

Corentin Moutet

Rank: #89
29%
VS

Taylor Fritz

Rank: #4
71%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Taylor Fritz

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Ranking Trends

Corentin Moutet

  • Current #89 2025-06-16
  • 3 mo ago #76 2025-03-17
  • 6 mo ago #70 2024-12-16
  • 9 mo ago #69 2024-09-16
  • 12 mo ago #55 2024-06-17

Taylor Fritz

  • Current #4 2025-06-16
  • 3 mo ago #4 2025-03-17
  • 6 mo ago #4 2024-12-16
  • 9 mo ago #7 2024-09-16
  • 12 mo ago #12 2024-06-17

Player Metrics

Corentin Moutet

Form Index: 57.7
ELO Rating: 1081.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1587.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 314.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.7
Clay: 9.3
Grass: 6.9
Serve Rating: 96.5
Return Rating: 88.8

Taylor Fritz

Form Index: 60.3
ELO Rating: 4433.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1793.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 34.3
Clay: 37.4
Grass: 45.8
Serve Rating: 97.3
Return Rating: 85.9

Recent Matches

Corentin Moutet
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

Taylor Fritz
✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Corentin Moutet
vs
0
Taylor Fritz
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the London tournament, held on grass as part of the ATP 500 series, Corentin Moutet faces off against Taylor Fritz. The predicted winner is Taylor Fritz, who has a 70.79% probability of winning, while Corentin Moutet’s chances stand at 29.21%. The expected total number of games played is around 23.

Match Analysis

Taylor Fritz, currently ranked 4th, enjoys a significant advantage in terms of Elo rating at 4432.97 compared to Moutet’s 1081.85. Both players have a similar form index, with Fritz at 60.35 and Moutet at 57.73, indicating that both are in reasonable form. However, Fritz's surface strength index of 45.83 substantially eclipses Moutet’s 6.92, showcasing Fritz's superior adaptability on grass. Additionally, Fritz has a mean serve index of 97.31, which is over 5 points higher than Moutet's 96.54, further accentuating his serving prowess. In their recent performances, Taylor Fritz has been dominant, winning all three of his latest matches in straight sets on grass, with match durations averaging around 83 minutes. Conversely, Corentin Moutet has experienced mixed results, winning two out of three matches, with his last two victories coming after longer match durations (over 150 minutes). Moutet's fatigue level at 314 minutes suggests that he may be more worn out compared to Fritz, who has yet to accumulate any fatigue in this tournament.

Final Prediction

Taylor Fritz’s superior ranking, Elo rating, and markedly better performance on grass give him a clear edge heading into this match. One key factor to monitor will be Moutet's ability to handle Fritz's powerful serve, which could set the tone for the match.

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