Tokio Japan Hard Atp 500 Round of 32

Damir Dzumhur vs Aleksandar Vukic Prediction

Damir Dzumhur

Rank: #68
29%
VS

Aleksandar Vukic

Rank: #93
71%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Aleksandar Vukic

Ranking Trends

Damir Dzumhur

  • Current Rank: #68 (2025-09-15)
  • 3 Months Ago: #68 (2025-06-23)
  • 6 Months Ago: #70 (2025-03-17)
  • 9 Months Ago: #83 (2024-12-23)
  • 12 Months Ago: #94 (2024-09-23)

Aleksandar Vukic

  • Current Rank: #93 (2025-09-15)
  • 3 Months Ago: #80 (2025-06-23)
  • 6 Months Ago: #77 (2025-03-17)
  • 9 Months Ago: #68 (2024-12-23)
  • 12 Months Ago: #90 (2024-09-23)

Player Metrics

Damir Dzumhur

Form Index: 19.1
ELO Rating: 838.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1555.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.7
Clay: 7.8
Grass: 5.3
Serve Rating: 96.0
Return Rating: 89.8

Aleksandar Vukic

Form Index: 53.5
ELO Rating: 721.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1566.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 232.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.0
Clay: 5.1
Grass: 7.9
Serve Rating: 96.0
Return Rating: 86.1

Recent Matches

Damir Dzumhur
❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry (0-2) hard Hangzhou 75 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Gabriel Diallo (1-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Carlos Alcaraz (1-2) hard Cincinnati 101 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Mattia Bellucci (2-0) hard Cincinnati 143 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Francisco Comesana (0-2) hard Toronto 86 min

Aleksandar Vukic
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Rei Sakamoto (2-0) hard Tokio 113 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Aleksandar Kovacevic (2-1) hard Tokio 119 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Alexander Bublik (1-2) hard Hangzhou 133 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs David Goffin (2-1) hard Hangzhou 102 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Jenson Brooksby (2-3) hard Us Open 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Damir Dzumhur
vs
1
Aleksandar Vukic
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the Tokyo tournament, Damir Dzumhur faces Aleksandar Vukic on hard courts. The predicted winner is Aleksandar Vukic, with a probability of 71.47% to win the match, while Dzumhur has a 28.53% chance. The predicted total number of games played is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Damir Dzumhur, currently ranked 68, shows a form index of 19.07 and an Elo rating of 838.80. His fatigue level stands at 0, indicating he has not spent significant time on court in this tournament. His surface strength index is moderate at 4.69, while his mean serve index is 95.98 and mean return index is 89.77. In contrast, Aleksandar Vukic, ranked 93, has a higher form index of 53.55 and a lower Elo rating of 721.08. Vukic has accumulated 232 minutes of fatigue, which could impact his performance. His surface strength index is better at 6.96, and he possesses a comparable mean serve index of 96.05 and a lower mean return index of 86.15. The difference between their serve indices is negligible, but Dzumhur's return index exceeds Vukic's by more than 3 points. Over their last three matches, Dzumhur has struggled, losing all three encounters without a win, including recent losses at the Hangzhou and US Open tournaments. Conversely, Vukic has demonstrated resilience by winning his last two matches in Tokyo, showcasing a stronger form and momentum heading into this matchup.

Final Prediction

Aleksandar Vukic holds the edge due to his recent form and better surface strength index, alongside Dzumhur's ongoing struggles. A key factor to watch will be Vukic's endurance, given his accumulated fatigue, which could impact his performance as the match progresses.