Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 128

Daniel Elahi Galan vs Raphael Collignon Prediction

Daniel Elahi Galan

Rank: #144
47%
VS

Raphael Collignon

Rank: #107
53%
Predicted Games Played: 35.0
Predicted Winner: Raphael Collignon

Player Metrics

Daniel Elahi Galan

Form Index: 65.4
ELO Rating: 473.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1570.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 522.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 3.9
Clay: 4.8
Grass: 3.8
Serve Rating: 96.0
Return Rating: 87.0

Raphael Collignon

Form Index: 17.3
ELO Rating: 425.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1493.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 3.9
Clay: 4.4
Grass: 4.1
Serve Rating: 95.1
Return Rating: 92.4

Recent Matches

Daniel Elahi Galan

  • Last Match: vs Shintaro Mochizuki (0-2) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Patrick Maloney (2-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Guy Den Ouden (2-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Jannik Sinner (0-2) hard Cincinnati 59 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Vit Kopriva (2-0) hard Cincinnati 99 min

Raphael Collignon

  • Last Match: vs Nishesh Basavareddy (0-2) hard Winston Salem 98 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Vit Kopriva (1-2) clay Umag 154 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Luciano Darderi (1-2) clay Bastad 129 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Marin Cilic (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Brandon Nakashima (0-1) clay Hamburg 60 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Daniel Elahi Galan
vs
0
Raphael Collignon
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Daniel Elahi Galan and Raphael Collignon at the 2025 US Open marks a significant moment in the Round of 128 on hard courts. With both players aiming to progress, the forecast leans slightly in favor of Collignon, who holds a 53.37% probability of victory compared to Galan's 46.63%. The predicted total number of games played is set at 35.0, indicating a potentially closely contested match.

Match Analysis

Daniel Elahi Galan, currently ranked 144, has a form index of 65.37 and an Elo rating of 473.00. His cumulative fatigue stands at 522 minutes, reflecting a demanding tournament thus far. Galan’s surface strength index is 3.91, with a mean serve index of 95.97 and a mean return index of 87.04. In contrast, Raphael Collignon, ranked 107, shows a lower form index of 17.32 and an Elo rating of 424.97, but he benefits from a fatigue level of 0 minutes, suggesting he is fresh for this encounter. Collignon's surface strength index is slightly higher at 3.93, with a mean serve index of 95.15 and an impressive mean return index of 92.36. The significant difference in their mean return indices (5.32 points) favors Collignon's ability to handle Galan's serves effectively. In their recent performances, Galan has had a mixed bag, winning 2 of his last 3 matches, but his last outing resulted in a defeat against Shintaro Mochizuki, where he failed to win a set. Meanwhile, Collignon has faced challenges, losing his last three matches, including a recent hard court match against Nishesh Basavareddy. Despite his recent struggles, his fresh state may provide an advantage in this matchup.

Final Prediction

Collignon appears to have the upper hand primarily due to his lack of fatigue and superior return capabilities, which could be crucial in breaking Galan's serve. Watching how Galan manages the pressure and fatigue will be a key factor in determining the match's outcome.