Wimbledon Great Britain Grass Grand Slam Round of 64

Daniel Evans vs Novak Djokovic Prediction

Daniel Evans

Rank: #154
20%
VS

Novak Djokovic

Rank: #6
80%
Predicted Games Played: 37.0
Predicted Winner: Novak Djokovic

Player Metrics

Daniel Evans

Form Index: 62.2
ELO Rating: 549.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1613.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.4
Clay: 2.9
Grass: 5.0
Serve Rating: 96.7
Return Rating: 86.5

Novak Djokovic

Form Index: 92.6
ELO Rating: 3510.3
Glicko2 Rating: 2558.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 31.3
Clay: 31.2
Grass: 33.5
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 87.5

Recent Matches

Daniel Evans

  • Last Match: vs Jay Clarke (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Jenson Brooksby (0-2) grass Eastbourne 83 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Tommy Paul (2-1) grass Eastbourne 134 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Miomir Kecmanovic (2-1) grass Eastbourne 129 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Brandon Nakashima (0-2) grass London 115 min

Novak Djokovic

  • Last Match: vs Alexandre Muller (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Jannik Sinner (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Alexander Zverev (3-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Cameron Norrie (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Filip Misolic (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Daniel Evans
vs
0
Novak Djokovic
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 64 at Wimbledon, Daniel Evans faces off against Novak Djokovic on the prestigious grass courts of Great Britain. The match is set to be a compelling contest, but Djokovic is heavily favored to win, with an 80.39% probability compared to Evans' 19.61%. The predicted total number of games played stands at 37.

Match Analysis

Daniel Evans, currently ranked 154, has a form index of 62.15 and an Elo rating of 549.47. His cumulative fatigue is at 174 minutes, indicating he has spent a considerable amount of time on the court recently. His surface strength index on grass is relatively low at 5.01, which could impact his performance. In contrast, Novak Djokovic is ranked 6, boasting a much higher form index of 92.61 and an Elo rating of 3510.29, reflecting his elite status in the sport. Djokovic also has a significantly higher surface strength index of 33.47, showcasing his proficiency on grass. The difference in their mean serve index is minimal, with Djokovic at 95.56 and Evans at 96.74, but Djokovic's mean return index of 87.50 is superior to Evans' 86.45, which could give him an advantage in returning serves. Examining their recent performances, Evans won his last match against Jay Clarke with a convincing score of 3-0, demonstrating some resilience on grass. However, he struggled in his previous match against Jenson Brooksby, losing 0-2. Djokovic, on the other hand, successfully defeated Alexandre Muller in his last outing, also winning 3-1. His recent loss to Jannik Sinner at Roland Garros was an anomaly in an otherwise strong season, indicating he remains a formidable opponent on grass.

Final Prediction

Novak Djokovic's superior ranking, form, and experience on grass courts provide him with a significant edge over Daniel Evans. A crucial factor to watch will be Djokovic's ability to capitalize on his return game, as his higher return index could disrupt Evans' service rhythm.