Eastbourne Great Britain Grass Atp 250 Round of 16

Daniel Evans vs Tommy Paul Prediction

Daniel Evans

Rank: #170
21%
VS

Tommy Paul

Rank: #13
79%
Predicted Games Played: 21.0
Predicted Winner: Tommy Paul

Ranking Trends

Daniel Evans

  • Current Rank: #170 (2025-06-23)
  • 3 Months Ago: #183 (2025-03-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #164 (2024-12-23)
  • 9 Months Ago: #176 (2024-09-23)
  • 12 Months Ago: #61 (2024-06-24)

Tommy Paul

  • Current Rank: #13 (2025-06-23)
  • 3 Months Ago: #13 (2025-03-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #12 (2024-12-23)
  • 9 Months Ago: #13 (2024-09-23)
  • 12 Months Ago: #12 (2024-06-24)

Player Metrics

Daniel Evans

Form Index: 43.7
ELO Rating: 445.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1607.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 129.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.4
Clay: 2.9
Grass: 4.3
Serve Rating: 96.9
Return Rating: 86.8

Tommy Paul

Form Index: 84.2
ELO Rating: 2712.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1795.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 18.2
Clay: 24.2
Grass: 26.2
Serve Rating: 95.3
Return Rating: 88.3

Recent Matches

Daniel Evans
✅ ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Miomir Kecmanovic (2-1) grass Eastbourne 129 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Brandon Nakashima (0-2) grass London 115 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Ugo Humbert (0-2) grass S Hertogenbosch 100 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Rinky Hijikata (2-1) grass S Hertogenbosch 135 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Mees Rottgering (2-1) grass S Hertogenbosch 160 min

Tommy Paul
❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Carlos Alcaraz (0-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Alexei Popyrin (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Karen Khachanov (3-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Marton Fucsovics (3-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Elmer Moller (3-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Daniel Evans
vs
0
Tommy Paul
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match at the Eastbourne tournament, held on grass courts in Great Britain, features a Round of 16 encounter between Daniel Evans and Tommy Paul. The prediction favors Tommy Paul, with a winning probability of 78.69% compared to Daniel Evans' 21.31%. The anticipated total number of games in this match is estimated to be 21.

Match Analysis

Daniel Evans, currently ranked 170, has a form index of 43.69 and an Elo rating of 445.47. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament stands at 129 minutes, indicating a more taxing experience on court. On grass, Evans has a surface strength index of 4.34, which falls short against Tommy Paul’s impressive 26.20. Paul, ranked 13th, boasts a form index of 84.20 and an Elo rating of 2712.63. Notably, he has no recorded fatigue from the tournament so far, which may give him an advantage in stamina and performance. The mean serve index for Evans is 96.90, while Paul’s is slightly lower at 95.33, indicating Evans has a marginal edge in serving. However, the mean return index presents a different picture; Evans has an index of 86.78, which is lower than Paul’s 88.31, showcasing Paul's superior returning ability. In their recent performances, Evans won his last match against Miomir Kecmanovic but lost the two prior matches. Conversely, Tommy Paul lost his latest match against Carlos Alcaraz but won the two matches before that at Roland Garros, demonstrating a stronger recent performance overall.

Final Prediction

Tommy Paul’s higher rank, superior form, and lack of fatigue position him as the likely winner in this matchup. His better return index is a critical factor to monitor, as it may allow him to capitalize on Evans' serves and control the game tempo effectively.