Daniel Evans vs Tommy Paul Prediction

Daniel Evans, currently ranked 170, has a form index of 43.69 and an Elo rating of 445.47. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament stands at 129 minutes, indicating a more taxing experience on court. On grass, Evans has a surface strength index of 4.34, which falls short against Tommy Paul’s impressive 26.20. Paul, ranked 13th, boasts a form index of 84.20 and an Elo rating of 2712.63. Notably, he has no recorded fatigue from the tournament so far, which may give him an advantage in stamina and performance. The mean serve index for Evans is 96.90, while Paul’s is slightly lower at 95.33, indicating Evans has a marginal edge in serving. However, the mean return index presents a different picture; Evans has an index of 86.78, which is lower than Paul’s 88.31, showcasing Paul's superior returning ability. In their recent performances, Evans won his last match against Miomir Kecmanovic but lost the two prior matches. Conversely, Tommy Paul lost his latest match against Carlos Alcaraz but won the two matches before that at Roland Garros, demonstrating a stronger recent performance overall.