Halle Germany Grass Atp 500 Quarterfinals

Alex Michelsen vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction

Alex Michelsen

Rank: #33
30%
VS

Daniil Medvedev

Rank: #11
70%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Daniil Medvedev

Ranking Trends

Alex Michelsen

  • Current Rank: #33 (2025-06-16)
  • 3 Months Ago: #33 (2025-03-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #41 (2024-12-16)
  • 9 Months Ago: #47 (2024-09-16)
  • 12 Months Ago: #61 (2024-06-17)

Daniil Medvedev

  • Current Rank: #11 (2025-06-16)
  • 3 Months Ago: #8 (2025-03-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #5 (2024-12-16)
  • 9 Months Ago: #5 (2024-09-16)
  • 12 Months Ago: #5 (2024-06-17)

Player Metrics

Alex Michelsen

Form Index: 49.1
ELO Rating: 1272.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1597.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 225.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.8
Clay: 9.3
Grass: 9.9
Serve Rating: 97.5
Return Rating: 88.8

Daniil Medvedev

Form Index: 48.6
ELO Rating: 3673.1
Glicko2 Rating: 2149.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 66.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 33.9
Clay: 35.9
Grass: 42.1
Serve Rating: 95.2
Return Rating: 88.0

Recent Matches

Alex Michelsen
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Stefanos Tsitsipas (2-0) grass Halle 103 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Francisco Cerundolo (2-1) grass Halle 122 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Justin Engel (0-2) grass Stuttgart 77 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Gael Monfils (2-1) grass Stuttgart 105 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Daniil Medvedev
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Quentin Halys (2-0) grass Halle 66 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Reilly Opelka (0-2) grass S Hertogenbosch 96 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Adrian Mannarino (2-0) grass S Hertogenbosch 125 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Cameron Norrie (2-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Lorenzo Musetti (0-2) clay Rome 99 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Alex Michelsen
vs
1
Daniil Medvedev
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the quarterfinals of the Halle tournament in Germany, Alex Michelsen faces off against Daniil Medvedev on grass. Medvedev is favored to win with a probability of 69.50%, while Michelsen has a 30.50% chance of victory. The predicted total number of games played in this match is 23.

Match Analysis

Daniil Medvedev, currently ranked 11th, boasts a higher Elo rating of 3673 compared to Michelsen's 1272 and has a surface strength index of 42.13, showcasing his proficiency on grass. Both players have similar fatigue levels, with Medvedev at 66 minutes and Michelsen at 225 minutes, which may impact Michelsen's performance more significantly given the higher cumulative fatigue. Medvedev's mean serve index stands at 95.20, while Michelsen's is notably higher at 97.46, demonstrating a 2.26 point advantage for Michelsen, which could play a role in his service games. However, Medvedev's mean return index of 88.04 is slightly lower than Michelsen's 88.79, indicating that Michelsen might excel in returning serves. In their recent performances, Michelsen has shown a mixed bag, winning his last two matches against Stefanos Tsitsipas and Francisco Cerundolo, while losing to Justin Engel in his previous outing. This recent success may bolster his confidence. Medvedev, on the other hand, won his last match against Quentin Halys and managed to defeat Adrian Mannarino earlier, though he suffered a setback against Reilly Opelka. His recent form suggests he is recovering well after that loss.

Final Prediction

Daniil Medvedev's higher ranking and overall experience on grass give him a significant edge heading into this quarterfinal clash. A crucial factor to watch will be how Michelsen's serve holds up against Medvedev's returning capabilities, as this could determine the match's momentum.