Paris France Hard Masters 1000 Quarterfinals

Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverev Prediction

Daniil Medvedev

Rank: #13
39%
VS

Alexander Zverev

Rank: #3
61%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Alexander Zverev

Player Metrics

Daniil Medvedev

Form Index: 56.3
ELO Rating: 2859.6
Glicko2 Rating: 2066.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 70.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 27.9
Clay: 35.9
Grass: 40.9
Serve Rating: 96.7
Return Rating: 87.5

Alexander Zverev

Form Index: 60.8
ELO Rating: 5630.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1879.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 155.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 50.7
Clay: 54.0
Grass: 59.9
Serve Rating: 96.5
Return Rating: 87.5

Recent Matches

Daniil Medvedev

  • Last Match: vs Jaume Munar (2-0) hard Paris 70 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Corentin Moutet (0-2) hard Vienna 135 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Nuno Borges (2-1) hard Vienna 138 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Corentin Moutet (2-1) hard Almaty 156 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs James Duckworth (2-1) hard Almaty 132 min

Alexander Zverev

  • Last Match: vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli (2-1) hard Paris 155 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Jannik Sinner (1-2) hard Vienna 148 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Lorenzo Musetti (2-0) hard Vienna 92 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Matteo Arnaldi (2-0) hard Vienna 87 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Jacob Fearnley (2-1) hard Vienna 139 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

3
Daniil Medvedev
vs
0
Alexander Zverev
Hard
2 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
1 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The quarterfinal match between Daniil Medvedev and Alexander Zverev at the Masters 1000 event in Paris promises to be a compelling contest on hard courts. With Zverev being favored to win, he holds a 61.43% probability of victory compared to Medvedev’s 38.57%. The predicted total number of games in this matchup is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Daniil Medvedev, currently ranked 13th, has a form index of 56.32 and an Elo rating of 2859.59. His cumulative fatigue stands at 70 minutes, which is relatively low, allowing him to maintain stamina for this match. However, his surface strength index of 27.93 suggests he may struggle against top-tier opponents on hard courts. In contrast, Alexander Zverev, ranked 3rd, boasts a higher form index of 60.75 and a significantly superior Elo rating of 5630.05. His fatigue level is higher at 155 minutes, but his surface strength index of 50.75 indicates a solid performance potential on hard courts. Notably, Zverev's mean serve index is slightly lower than Medvedev’s (96.52 vs. 96.70), but the difference is minimal, while their mean return indices are nearly equal, indicating a well-matched contest in that regard. In their recent performances, Medvedev has won two out of his last three matches, including a dominant victory against Jaume Munar in his last outing. Zverev, on the other hand, also secured two wins out of his last three matches, most recently defeating Camilo Ugo Carabelli, demonstrating his ability to perform under pressure despite a loss against Jannik Sinner earlier. This pattern shows that while both players are capable, Zverev's recent successes against tougher opponents provide him with a crucial edge.

Final Prediction

Zverev's higher ranking, form index, and Elo rating position him as the favored competitor in this match, bolstered by his greater experience in high-stakes situations. A key factor to observe will be how each player manages their fatigue levels, especially Zverev, who has accumulated more match time during this tournament. Their ability to maintain focus and energy will be critical in determining the outcome of this encounter.