Washington DC, U.S.A. Hard Atp 500 Round of 16

Daniil Medvedev vs Yibing Wu Prediction

Daniil Medvedev

Rank: #14
70%
VS

Yibing Wu

Rank: #243
30%
Expected Total Games: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Daniil Medvedev

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Ranking Trends

Daniil Medvedev

  • Current #14 2025-07-21
  • 3 mo ago #10 2025-04-21
  • 6 mo ago #5 2025-01-13
  • 9 mo ago #5 2024-10-21
  • 12 mo ago #5 2024-07-22

Yibing Wu

  • Current #243 2025-07-21
  • 3 mo ago #448 2025-04-21
  • 6 mo ago #410 2025-01-13
  • 9 mo ago #404 2024-10-21
  • 12 mo ago #508 2024-07-22

Player Metrics

Daniil Medvedev

Form Index: 47.1
ELO Rating: 3545.1
Glicko2 Rating: 2130.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 120.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 33.9
Clay: 35.9
Grass: 40.9
Serve Rating: 96.7
Return Rating: 87.7

Yibing Wu

Form Index: 63.5
ELO Rating: 480.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1567.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 554.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.3
Clay: 1.2
Grass: 1.2
Serve Rating: 95.2
Return Rating: 86.1

Recent Matches

Daniil Medvedev
✅ ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅

Yibing Wu
✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Daniil Medvedev
vs
0
Yibing Wu
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 at the Washington hard court event, Daniil Medvedev faces off against Yibing Wu. With Medvedev ranked 14th and boasting a 70.19% probability of winning, he is favored over the 243rd-ranked Wu, who holds a 29.81% chance. The match is expected to be competitive, with a predicted total of 22 games played.

Match Analysis

Daniil Medvedev enters the match with a form index of 47.15 and an Elo rating of 3545.09, which indicates a strong performance potential. However, he has accumulated 120 minutes of fatigue during the tournament, which might impact his endurance. His surface strength index stands at 33.92, while his mean serve index is notably high at 96.66, giving him a substantial advantage in service games. In contrast, Yibing Wu, with a form index of 63.49 and an Elo rating of 480.47, has shown resilience, although his surface strength index is relatively low at 5.29. Wu's mean serve index of 95.21 indicates that while competitive, he may struggle against Medvedev’s superior serving capabilities. Recent performances highlight contrasting trajectories for both players. Medvedev has faced challenges, losing his last two matches at Wimbledon and Halle, while managing to win his last match against Reilly Opelka in Washington. Conversely, Wu comes into this match with a winning streak after defeating Alexei Popyrin, Gael Monfils, and Corentin Moutet, showcasing his current form and ability on hard courts.

Final Prediction

Daniil Medvedev's edge lies in his higher ranking, superior serve, and extensive experience on the tour, despite recent inconsistencies. A key factor to watch will be Medvedev’s ability to maintain his serve against Wu’s return game, as this could dictate the match's pace and outcome.

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