Dusan Lajovic vs Daniel Altmaier: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

On paper Altmaier holds the clear ranking and rating edge (rank 51, Elo ~1004.8) versus Lajovic (rank 123, Elo ~475.7). Lajovic’s form index (~47.8) is higher than Altmaier’s (~11.1), but Altmaier’s substantially stronger serve (mean serve index ~97.66 vs Lajovic ~63.30) and return (mean return ~90.57 vs Lajovic ~66.02) stand out as decisive metrics; both serve and return index gaps exceed 5 points. Surface strength indices are modest for both—Altmaier ~10.39, Lajovic ~5.40—suggesting neither is particularly specialized on clay by these measures. Recent results show similar short-term trajectories: Lajovic is 1–2 in his last three matches, with a heavy 171-minute three-set contest in Rio as his most recent outing and another long match at the Australian Open three matches back. That cumulative time on court yields a fatigue reading of 293 minutes for Lajovic in the current event. Altmaier’s last three matches also amount to one win and two losses (including a loss to Juan Manuel Cerundolo in Buenos Aires and a win listed versus Marin Cilic); his tournament fatigue is recorded as 0 minutes. The contrast in freshness and the pronounced serving/return advantages point toward Altmaier controlling more service games and taking initiative in rallies.