Australian Open Australia Hard Grand Slam Round of 64

Eliot Spizzirri vs Yibing Wu: AI Prediction | Games, Aces & Double Faults

Eliot Spizzirri

Rank: #89
52%
VS

Yibing Wu

Rank: #168
48%
Expected Total Games: 38.5
Predicted Winner: Eliot Spizzirri

Ranking Trends

Eliot Spizzirri

  • Current Rank: #89 (2026-01-12)
  • 3 Months Ago: #103 (2025-10-20)
  • 6 Months Ago: #131 (2025-07-21)
  • 9 Months Ago: #125 (2025-04-21)
  • 12 Months Ago: #232 (2025-01-13)

Yibing Wu

  • Current Rank: #168 (2026-01-12)
  • 3 Months Ago: #178 (2025-10-20)
  • 6 Months Ago: #243 (2025-07-21)
  • 9 Months Ago: #448 (2025-04-21)
  • 12 Months Ago: #410 (2025-01-13)

Player Metrics

Eliot Spizzirri

Form Index: 75.1
ELO Rating: 880.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1541.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.5
Clay: 4.3
Grass: 4.4
Serve Rating: 58.4
Return Rating: 55.9

Yibing Wu

Form Index: 99.9
ELO Rating: 501.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1532.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 696.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.3
Clay: 2.8
Grass: 2.8
Serve Rating: 95.8
Return Rating: 92.1

Recent Matches

Eliot Spizzirri
✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Joao Fonseca (3-1) hard Australian Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Fabian Marozsan (1-2) hard Auckland 104 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Nuno Borges (2-0) hard Auckland 98 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Adrian Mannarino (2-0) hard Auckland 80 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo (2-0) hard Auckland 87 min

Yibing Wu
✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Luca Nardi (3-1) hard Australian Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Mitchell Krueger (2-0) hard Australian Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Tristan Boyer (2-0) hard Australian Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Nicolas Mejia (2-0) hard Australian Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Andrey Rublev (1-2) hard Hong Kong 97 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Eliot Spizzirri
vs
0
Yibing Wu
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

As the Australian Open heats up, Eliot Spizzirri and Yibing Wu face off in the Round of 64 on hard courts in Australia. This matchup is expected to be closely contested, with Spizzirri slightly favored to win at a probability of 51.58%, while Wu's chances stand at 48.42%. Fans can anticipate approximately 38.54 total games during this encounter.

Match Analysis

Eliot Spizzirri currently holds a rank of 89 and boasts a form index of 75.09, indicating a solid performance trajectory. His Elo rating is 880.90, and he shows moderate fatigue at 174 minutes. Spizzirri's surface strength index is 5.47, suggesting an ability to adapt well to hard courts. His mean serve index of 58.41 is robust, but it is significantly lower than Wu's mean serve index of 95.75, which presents a gap of over 37 points. In terms of return capabilities, Spizzirri’s mean return index of 55.95 also trails Wu’s 92.09 by a considerable margin, indicating Wu's strength in both serving and returning on this surface. Yibing Wu, ranked 168, enters the match with an impressive form index of 99.88, reflecting his recent dominance. His fatigue level is considerably higher at 696 minutes, which may impact his performance. Wu has shown remarkable consistency in his last three matches, winning all of them in straight sets, including a recent victory against Luca Nardi. In contrast, Spizzirri's last three matches reveal a mixed bag, with two wins and one loss, suggesting he is still finding his rhythm.

Total Games Predictions

🎾
Expected Total Games in Match 38.5 Most likely outcome: 38 games

📊 Total Games Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each total games outcome

Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of total games ≤ X

Aces and Double Faults Predictions

The expected aces prediction for this match is set at approximately 10.06, while the expected double faults prediction stands at 5.63. Given that they are competing on hard courts, where serve statistics tend to be balanced, the predicted aces will likely be shared between both players, although Wu’s significantly higher serve index may enable him to lead in this category. Double faults could play a role, particularly for Spizzirri, who will need to manage pressure effectively throughout the match.
🎯
Expected Total Aces 10.1 Most likely: 10 aces
❌
Expected Total Double Faults 5.6 Most likely: 5 double faults

🎯 Aces Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each ace count outcome

Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of aces ≤ X

❌ Double Faults Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each double fault count outcome

Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of double faults ≤ X

New to probability charts? Learn how to interpret distribution and CDF curves

Final Prediction

Eliot Spizzirri is predicted to edge out Yibing Wu primarily due to his recent match experience and resilience on hard courts, despite facing a challenging opponent. A key factor to monitor will be how well Spizzirri manages to return Wu's powerful serves, which could be decisive in determining the match's outcome.

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