Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Adrian Mannarino: AI Prediction | Games, Aces & Double Faults

Felix arrives as the higher-ranked player (No. 8) with a very large Elo rating advantage (4062 vs 830.37). His form index (55.67) slightly exceeds Mannarino’s (51.14), and Felix has spent less time on court this week (322 minutes vs 518), which may leave him relatively fresher for the final. Felix’s surface strength index on hard courts (26.72) is also notably higher than Mannarino’s (9.30), suggesting he is better suited to the conditions of this tournament. Mannarino brings outstanding serving and returning metrics in the supplied indices: his mean serve index (97.63) is markedly higher than Felix’s (82.61) — a difference greater than 5 points — and his mean return index (93.34) far exceeds Felix’s (38.66), also well over the 5-point threshold. Those gaps indicate Mannarino can still produce high-quality service games and returns despite his lower rank and Elo. Over the last three rounds both players progressed unbeaten: Felix recorded two straight-set wins and a tougher three-set win (including a 147-minute match), while Mannarino advanced through three consecutive three-set matches, which accounts for his higher cumulative fatigue.