Paris France Hard Masters 1000 Round of 32

Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexandre Muller Prediction

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Rank: #10
66%
VS

Alexandre Muller

Rank: #44
34%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Felix Auger-Aliassime

Ranking Trends

Felix Auger-Aliassime

  • Current Rank: #10 (2025-10-27)
  • 3 Months Ago: #28 (2025-07-28)
  • 6 Months Ago: #19 (2025-04-21)
  • 9 Months Ago: #23 (2025-01-27)
  • 12 Months Ago: #27 (2024-10-28)

Alexandre Muller

  • Current Rank: #44 (2025-10-27)
  • 3 Months Ago: #40 (2025-07-28)
  • 6 Months Ago: #39 (2025-04-21)
  • 9 Months Ago: #57 (2025-01-27)
  • 12 Months Ago: #68 (2024-10-28)

Player Metrics

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Form Index: 59.8
ELO Rating: 1607.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1709.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 138.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.8
Clay: 13.0
Grass: 12.0
Serve Rating: 97.5
Return Rating: 85.5

Alexandre Muller

Form Index: 32.7
ELO Rating: 1204.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1591.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 91.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.3
Clay: 11.3
Grass: 8.8
Serve Rating: 95.2
Return Rating: 88.2

Recent Matches

Felix Auger-Aliassime
✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Francisco Comesana (2-1) hard Paris 138 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Jaume Munar (0-1) hard Basel 45 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Marin Cilic (2-0) hard Basel 107 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Gabriel Diallo (2-0) hard Basel 110 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Jiri Lehecka (2-1) hard Brussels 154 min

Alexandre Muller
✅ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Brandon Nakashima (2-0) hard Paris 91 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Jenson Brooksby (0-2) hard Basel 67 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Miomir Kecmanovic (0-2) hard Stockholm 83 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs David Goffin (1-2) hard Shanghai 126 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Fabian Marozsan (0-2) hard Beijing 93 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Felix Auger-Aliassime
vs
1
Alexandre Muller
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
1 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 of the Masters 1000 tournament held in Paris, Felix Auger-Aliassime faces Alexandre Muller on hard courts. The predicted winner is Felix Auger-Aliassime, with a probability of winning set at 65.82%, while Alexandre Muller has a 34.18% chance. The match is expected to be competitive, with a predicted total of 23 games played.

Match Analysis

Felix Auger-Aliassime, currently ranked 10th, boasts a higher form index of 59.83 compared to Alexandre Muller's 32.72, indicating a significant difference in recent performance. Auger-Aliassime's Elo rating of 1607.40 also surpasses Muller's 1204.06, further emphasizing his status as the stronger player. The fatigue levels are notable, with Auger-Aliassime at 138 minutes and Muller at 91 minutes, which may play a role in their stamina during the match. Auger-Aliassime's surface strength index of 13.80 is well above Muller's 8.28, indicating he is more adept at performing on hard courts. In terms of serving, Auger-Aliassime holds a slight edge with a mean serve index of 97.49 compared to Muller's 95.19. However, the more pronounced difference lies in the mean return index, where Auger-Aliassime's 85.54 is significantly better than Muller's 88.20. In their recent matches, Auger-Aliassime has had mixed results, winning his last match against Francisco Comesana but losing prior against Jaume Munar. In contrast, Muller recently secured a win against Brandon Nakashima, but he faced defeats in his previous two matches against Jenson Brooksby and Miomir Kecmanovic.

Final Prediction

Felix Auger-Aliassime's superior ranking, form, and return capabilities provide him with a distinct advantage heading into this match. A key factor to observe will be how both players manage their fatigue levels, especially Auger-Aliassime after a longer match in his last outing. The effectiveness of Auger-Aliassime's return game could significantly influence the match outcome.