Paris France Hard Masters 1000 Round of 64

Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Francisco Comesana Prediction

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Rank: #10
65%
VS

Francisco Comesana

Rank: #68
35%
Expected Total Games: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Felix Auger-Aliassime

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Ranking Trends

Felix Auger-Aliassime

  • Current #10 2025-10-27
  • 3 mo ago #28 2025-07-28
  • 6 mo ago #19 2025-04-21
  • 9 mo ago #23 2025-01-27
  • 12 mo ago #27 2024-10-28

Francisco Comesana

  • Current #68 2025-10-27
  • 3 mo ago #71 2025-07-28
  • 6 mo ago #70 2025-04-21
  • 9 mo ago #86 2025-01-27
  • 12 mo ago #101 2024-10-28

Player Metrics

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Form Index: 59.1
ELO Rating: 1606.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1706.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.8
Clay: 13.0
Grass: 12.0
Serve Rating: 97.5
Return Rating: 85.5

Francisco Comesana

Form Index: 47.5
ELO Rating: 936.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1577.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 129.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.4
Clay: 7.0
Grass: 6.0
Serve Rating: 95.9
Return Rating: 88.3

Recent Matches

Felix Auger-Aliassime
❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

Francisco Comesana
✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Felix Auger-Aliassime
vs
0
Francisco Comesana
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 64 at the Masters 1000 tournament in Paris, Felix Auger-Aliassime is set to face Francisco Comesana on hard court. With a predicted probability of 64.76% for Auger-Aliassime and 35.24% for Comesana, the match is expected to be competitive, with a predicted total of 24 games played.

Match Analysis

Felix Auger-Aliassime, currently ranked 10th, boasts a form index of 59.12 and an Elo rating of 1606.51, reflecting solid performance levels. His surface strength index stands at 13.79, indicating proficiency on hard courts, while his fatigue level is at 0.0 minutes, suggesting he is fresh going into this match. Notably, Auger-Aliassime's mean serve index of 97.48 is significantly higher than Comesana's 95.86, providing him with a crucial advantage in service games. Furthermore, his mean return index of 85.48 also surpasses Comesana's 88.26, although the difference is less pronounced. In contrast, Francisco Comesana, ranked 68th, has a lower form index of 47.49 and an Elo rating of 936.76, indicating he has struggled against higher-ranked opponents. His fatigue level is at 129.0 minutes, which may impact his performance. Recent matches show Comesana has won his last two encounters in Paris, but they were against lower-ranked opponents, whereas Auger-Aliassime's recent form includes a win against Marin Cilic, despite a loss in his last match against Jaume Munar.

Final Prediction

Felix Auger-Aliassime's higher ranking, superior serve index, and lack of fatigue position him as the favored player in this matchup. A key factor to watch will be his ability to leverage his serve against Comesana, particularly in crucial moments to maintain pressure and capitalize on his opponent’s potential fatigue.

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