Brussels Belgium Hard Atp 250 Finals

Jiri Lehecka vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Prediction

Jiri Lehecka

Rank: #19
56%
VS

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Rank: #13
44%
Expected Total Games: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Jiri Lehecka

Ranking Trends

Jiri Lehecka

  • Current Rank: #19 (2025-09-29)
  • 3 Months Ago: #25 (2025-07-14)
  • 6 Months Ago: #26 (2025-04-14)
  • 9 Months Ago: #29 (2025-01-13)
  • 12 Months Ago: #33 (2024-10-14)

Felix Auger-Aliassime

  • Current Rank: #13 (2025-09-29)
  • 3 Months Ago: #28 (2025-07-14)
  • 6 Months Ago: #19 (2025-04-14)
  • 9 Months Ago: #23 (2025-01-13)
  • 12 Months Ago: #21 (2024-10-14)

Player Metrics

Jiri Lehecka

Form Index: 66.3
ELO Rating: 1876.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1729.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 277.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 16.8
Clay: 15.3
Grass: 17.0
Serve Rating: 97.5
Return Rating: 84.8

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Form Index: 67.0
ELO Rating: 1602.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1701.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 377.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 14.0
Clay: 13.0
Grass: 12.1
Serve Rating: 95.9
Return Rating: 85.5

Recent Matches

Jiri Lehecka
✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (2-0) hard Brussels 89 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Benjamin Bonzi (2-1) hard Brussels 114 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly (2-0) hard Brussels 74 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Arthur Rinderknech (0-2) hard Shanghai 91 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Denis Shapovalov (2-0) hard Shanghai 93 min

Felix Auger-Aliassime
✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Raphael Collignon (2-0) hard Brussels 105 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Eliot Spizzirri (2-0) hard Brussels 99 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Damir Dzumhur (2-1) hard Brussels 173 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Arthur Rinderknech (0-2) hard Shanghai 88 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Lorenzo Musetti (2-0) hard Shanghai 85 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Jiri Lehecka
vs
1
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 1
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the finals of the ATP 250 tournament in Brussels, Belgium, Jiri Lehecka is set to face Felix Auger-Aliassime on hard courts. The predicted winner is Jiri Lehecka, with a 55.51% probability of victory compared to Auger-Aliassime's 44.49%. The match is expected to feature a total of approximately 24 games.

Match Analysis

Jiri Lehecka, currently ranked 19, boasts a form index of 66.33 and an Elo rating of 1876.85. His recent performances indicate he is in solid form, having won all his last three matches without dropping a set. Additionally, Lehecka shows a cumulative fatigue of 277 minutes, which is lower than Auger-Aliassime's 377 minutes, indicating he may have a slight advantage in stamina. His surface strength index of 16.80 and a mean serve index of 97.50 highlight his effectiveness on hard courts, particularly when serving. On the other hand, Felix Auger-Aliassime, ranked 13, has a form index of 67.03 and a considerably lower Elo rating of 1602.89. His recent performance also reflects dominance, winning his last three matches without losing a set. However, the difference in their mean serve indices is significant, with Lehecka's at 97.50 compared to Auger-Aliassime's 95.92. Additionally, Lehecka's mean return index of 84.84 is slightly lower than Auger-Aliassime's 85.55, but not by a large enough margin to sway the match heavily in favor of Felix.

Final Prediction

Jiri Lehecka's recent consistency, combined with lower fatigue levels and a stronger serve, gives him a slight edge in this matchup. A key factor to watch will be how effectively each player can capitalize on their serve, as Lehecka's superior serving ability could be crucial in clinching the title.

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