Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobolli: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

The model's edge for Blockx comes mainly from recent form, which pushes 6.6 percentage points his way, and a small age advantage of 1.1 points. Countering that, Cobolli gains ground from overall strength, recent record by level, and overall record and opposition quality, which together move the projection toward him by about 9.0 points. Those trade offs explain the close probability split. Blockx is ranked 32 with a form index of 48.56 and an Elo of 1797.45. Cobolli sits higher at rank 10, with a form index of 54.94 and an Elo of 1836.42. Surface strength favors Cobolli more, 24.57 versus Blockx at 15.84. Fatigue is notable for Cobolli, who has logged 120 tournament minutes versus Blockx at 85 minutes. Serve and return profiles are similar. Blockx posts a mean serve index of 96.75 and a mean return index of 88.78. Cobolli records 94.73 on serve and 86.53 on return. Neither difference exceeds five points, so no clear serving dominance is expected. Over the last three matches Blockx has one win in Cincinnati and two losses in Toronto and Estoril, while Cobolli arrives off a big 120 minute win in Cincinnati but older losses in Toronto and Umag. The form signal for Blockx is recent and positive, while Cobolli’s overall metrics and higher ranking keep him dangerous.