Wimbledon Great Britain Grass Grand Slam Round of 128

Flavio Cobolli vs Beibit Zhukayev Prediction

Flavio Cobolli

Rank: #24
73%
VS

Beibit Zhukayev

Rank: #247
27%
Predicted Games Played: 37.0
Predicted Winner: Flavio Cobolli

Ranking Trends

Flavio Cobolli

  • Current Rank: #24 (2025-06-30)
  • 3 Months Ago: #45 (2025-03-31)
  • 6 Months Ago: #32 (2024-12-30)
  • 9 Months Ago: #30 (2024-09-30)
  • 12 Months Ago: #48 (2024-07-01)

Beibit Zhukayev

  • Current Rank: #247 (2025-06-30)
  • 3 Months Ago: #192 (2025-03-31)
  • 6 Months Ago: #243 (2024-12-30)
  • 9 Months Ago: #196 (2024-09-30)
  • 12 Months Ago: #213 (2024-07-01)

Player Metrics

Flavio Cobolli

Form Index: 44.3
ELO Rating: 1384.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1626.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.9
Clay: 13.1
Grass: 11.5
Serve Rating: 96.9
Return Rating: 88.1

Beibit Zhukayev

Form Index: 68.9
ELO Rating: 279.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1536.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 348.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 3.7
Clay: 1.8
Grass: 3.4
Serve Rating: 96.7
Return Rating: 83.6

Recent Matches

Flavio Cobolli
❌ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Jacob Fearnley (0-2) grass Eastbourne 65 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Alexander Zverev (0-2) grass Halle 101 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Denis Shapovalov (2-1) grass Halle 153 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Joao Fonseca (2-1) grass Halle 164 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Alexander Zverev (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Beibit Zhukayev
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Luka Pavlovic (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Vitaliy Sachko (2-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Marton Fucsovics (1-2) grass Stuttgart 101 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Marc-Andrea Huesler (2-1) grass Stuttgart 100 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Zachary Svajda (0-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Flavio Cobolli
vs
0
Beibit Zhukayev
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 128 at Wimbledon, Flavio Cobolli is set to face Beibit Zhukayev on the grass courts of Great Britain. Cobolli, ranked 24th, is favored to win with a probability of 72.71%, while Zhukayev stands at 27.29%. The predicted total number of games played in this contest is approximately 37.

Match Analysis

Flavio Cobolli enters this match with a significant edge in ranking and experience, holding a rank of 24 compared to Beibit Zhukayev's 247. Cobolli's form index stands at 44.34, indicating a solid level of play, while Zhukayev's form index is notably higher at 68.87, reflecting recent success. However, this could be mitigated by Cobolli's Elo rating of 1384.47, which underscores his competitive prowess. Fatigue also plays a crucial role; Cobolli has zero cumulative fatigue, while Zhukayev comes into the match with 348 minutes on court from his current tournament, potentially impacting his performance. The surface strength index reveals Cobolli's advantage, as he boasts a score of 11.49 compared to Zhukayev's 3.36. This stark difference suggests that Cobolli is more adept on grass, a critical factor in a tournament like Wimbledon. Moreover, the mean serve index shows Cobolli at 96.91 against Zhukayev's 96.72, which is a minimal difference, but Cobolli's mean return index of 88.15 significantly surpasses Zhukayev's 83.60 by over 5 points, suggesting he may capitalize on return opportunities more effectively.

Final Prediction

Cobolli’s edge in ranking, fatigue, and surface strength positions him as the likely victor in this matchup. A key factor to watch will be Cobolli's return game, as his superior return index may prove decisive in dictating the flow of the match against Zhukayev.