Flavio Cobolli vs Diego Dedura: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Cobolli arrives as the clear higher-ranked player (16) with a stronger Elo (1670.9) and a slightly better form index (48.74) than Dedura (rank 258, Elo 1532.4, form 44.86). Cobolli shows no tournament fatigue (0 minutes on court) and a higher surface strength index on clay (44.59 versus Dedura’s 38.30), which supports his comfort on the slow, high-bounce surface. Dedura, however, posts notably superior raw serving and returning indices: his mean serve index is 98.21 versus Cobolli’s 67.89 (a gap >5 points) and his mean return index is 91.41 against Cobolli’s 68.94 (also >5 points), figures that demand respect despite his lower ranking. Recent form paints a contrast in match load and outcomes. Cobolli’s last three matches include a win over Francisco Comesana in Monte Carlo sandwiched between losses to Alexander Blockx (straight sets in Monte Carlo) and Raphaël Collignon (Miami), suggesting flashes of level but some inconsistency. Dedura has built momentum in Munich with wins over Alexander Shevchenko and Sumit Nagal (a 154-minute encounter), after an earlier loss to Thiago Tirante in Miami; his heavy court time this week has produced 245 minutes of fatigue, which is a notable factor on slow clay.