Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 64

Frances Tiafoe vs Martin Damm Prediction

Frances Tiafoe

Rank: #17
71%
VS

Martin Damm

Rank: #429
29%
Predicted Games Played: 38.0
Predicted Winner: Frances Tiafoe

Ranking Trends

Frances Tiafoe

  • Current Rank: #17 (2025-08-18)
  • 3 Months Ago: #16 (2025-05-26)
  • 6 Months Ago: #18 (2025-02-24)
  • 9 Months Ago: #18 (2024-11-25)
  • 12 Months Ago: #20 (2024-08-26)

Martin Damm

  • Current Rank: #429 (2025-08-18)
  • 3 Months Ago: #1000 (None)
  • 6 Months Ago: #467 (2025-02-17)
  • 9 Months Ago: #330 (2024-11-25)
  • 12 Months Ago: #205 (2024-08-26)

Player Metrics

Frances Tiafoe

Form Index: 64.3
ELO Rating: 1570.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1715.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.5
Clay: 14.4
Grass: 19.7
Serve Rating: 97.1
Return Rating: 87.0

Martin Damm

Form Index: 78.4
ELO Rating: 307.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1535.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 696.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 3.6
Clay: 0.9
Grass: 1.5
Serve Rating: 95.1
Return Rating: 86.1

Recent Matches

Frances Tiafoe
✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Yoshihito Nishioka (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Holger Rune (0-2) hard Cincinnati 72 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Ugo Humbert (2-0) hard Cincinnati 83 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Roberto Carballes Baena (2-0) hard Cincinnati 90 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Alex de Minaur (1-2) hard Toronto 144 min

Martin Damm
✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Darwin Blanch (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Yuta Shimizu (2-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Benjamin Hassan (2-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Stefano Travaglia (2-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Brandon Holt (1-2) hard Miami 104 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Frances Tiafoe
vs
0
Martin Damm
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 64 at the 2025 US Open, Frances Tiafoe is set to face Martin Damm on hard court in New York. The prediction favors Tiafoe, who holds a 71.43% probability of winning, while Damm's chances rest at 28.57%. The predicted total number of games played is estimated at 38.

Match Analysis

Frances Tiafoe, currently ranked 17, brings a form index of 64.34 and an Elo rating of 1570.21 into this matchup. His cumulative fatigue stands at 174 minutes, reflecting a relatively fresh state after his last match victory against Yoshihito Nishioka, where he won in straight sets. Tiafoe's surface strength index of 13.47, mean serve index of 97.09, and mean return index of 86.96 indicate his strong performance on hard courts. In contrast, Martin Damm, ranked 429, has a form index of 78.36 and an Elo rating of 307.08, but his fatigue level is considerably higher at 696 minutes. Damm's surface strength index is only 3.62, with a mean serve index of 95.09 and a mean return index of 86.07, suggesting a less effective performance on hard courts compared to Tiafoe. Both players have recently shown strong performances, with Tiafoe winning his last match convincingly, while Damm has also secured victories in his last three matches at the US Open, all without dropping a set. However, the level of competition Tiafoe faced was notably higher, which could factor into the upcoming match.

Final Prediction

Frances Tiafoe's superior ranking, lower fatigue, and stronger serve and return indices provide him with a significant edge heading into this encounter. A key factor to watch will be Tiafoe's ability to maintain his serve against Damm, who, despite his lower ranking, has shown resilience and determination in his recent matches.