Alejandro Tabilo vs Francisco Cerundolo: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Cerundolo carries the higher ranking (No. 27) and a notably stronger Elo (1811.74) compared with Tabilo (No. 35, Elo 1698.98). Tabilo registers a superior form index (50.03) versus Cerundolo’s 44.08, but fatigue favors Cerundolo markedly: Tabilo has already logged 72 minutes on court in this tournament while Cerundolo arrives fresh. Both players show modest clay-specific strength (Tabilo 20.9, Cerundolo 28.7), so neither is a clay specialist by the metrics provided. Their mean serve and return indices are very close, so serve/return discrepancy is not expected to be a decisive factor. Looking at recent results, Tabilo has two wins and one loss across his last three outings, including a straight-sets victory in Rome (72 minutes) and a long loss to Jiri Lehecka in Madrid (129 minutes). Cerundolo won two matches in Madrid before a loss in the round of 16; his recent workload in the events shown is higher in match count but he arrives in Rome with zero cumulative minutes recorded here, indicating freshness for this tie. Durations hint that Tabilo’s recent long matches could influence endurance in extended rallies on clay.