Paris France Hard Masters 1000 Round of 16

Francisco Cerundolo vs Jannik Sinner Prediction

Francisco Cerundolo

Rank: #21
16%
VS

Jannik Sinner

Rank: #2
84%
Predicted Games Played: 20.0
Predicted Winner: Jannik Sinner

Player Metrics

Francisco Cerundolo

Form Index: 49.7
ELO Rating: 1282.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1700.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 222.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.7
Clay: 12.4
Grass: 11.6
Serve Rating: 97.0
Return Rating: 89.5

Jannik Sinner

Form Index: 69.2
ELO Rating: 11095.3
Glicko2 Rating: 2167.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 87.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 96.9
Clay: 97.8
Grass: 98.9
Serve Rating: 96.2
Return Rating: 89.1

Recent Matches

Francisco Cerundolo

  • Last Match: vs Miomir Kecmanovic (2-1) hard Paris 146 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Damir Dzumhur (2-0) hard Paris 76 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Alexander Bublik (0-2) hard Vienna 65 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Alex Michelsen (2-0) hard Vienna 68 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Zizou Bergs (0-2) hard Shanghai 130 min

Jannik Sinner

  • Last Match: vs Zizou Bergs (2-0) hard Paris 87 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alexander Zverev (2-1) hard Vienna 148 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Alex de Minaur (2-0) hard Vienna 87 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Alexander Bublik (2-0) hard Vienna 76 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Flavio Cobolli (2-0) hard Vienna 107 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Francisco Cerundolo
vs
1
Jannik Sinner
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 1
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The Round of 16 match at the Paris Masters will see Francisco Cerundolo facing off against Jannik Sinner on hard courts. With both players aiming to advance further in this prestigious tournament, Jannik Sinner is predicted to emerge victorious with an 83.85% probability of winning, compared to Francisco Cerundolo's 16.15%. The anticipated total number of games played is set at 20.

Match Analysis

Jannik Sinner, currently ranked 2, demonstrates a strong form index of 69.22 and an impressive Elo rating of 11095.28, indicating his high performance level. His cumulative fatigue of 87 minutes from the current tournament is relatively low, allowing him to maintain his energy. Sinner's surface strength index of 96.93 suggests he excels on hard courts. In contrast, Francisco Cerundolo, ranked 21, has a form index of 49.74 and an Elo rating of 1282.06, reflecting a clear gap in performance between the two players. Cerundolo's fatigue level of 222 minutes, significantly higher than Sinner's, may hinder his effectiveness in this matchup. Notably, Sinner's mean serve index (96.20) and mean return index (89.07) are comparable to Cerundolo's (mean serve index 96.96 and mean return index 89.54), but the difference in overall match experience and surface adaptability heavily favors Sinner. Over their last three matches, Sinner has showcased consistency, winning all three, including a recent straight-sets victory against Zizou Bergs. His performance has been characterized by solid serving and efficient returning. Conversely, Cerundolo's recent matches include a notable win against Damir Dzumhur but a loss to Alexander Bublik, indicating inconsistency and potential vulnerabilities under pressure.

Final Prediction

Sinner's superior ranking, lower fatigue, and higher form index establish him as the favorite in this contest. A key factor to watch will be Sinner's serve, as his ability to dictate points early could play a crucial role in determining the match's outcome.