Bastad Sweden Clay Atp 250 Semifinals

Francisco Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderi Prediction

Francisco Cerundolo

Rank: #19
57%
VS

Luciano Darderi

Rank: #59
43%
Expected Total Games: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Francisco Cerundolo

Also available in Claude. Query these predictions in plain language — our native connector lets Claude call our models on demand, no code.

Set it up

Player Metrics

Francisco Cerundolo

Form Index: 39.7
ELO Rating: 1587.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1717.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 198.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.4
Clay: 13.6
Grass: 11.6
Serve Rating: 97.1
Return Rating: 89.4

Luciano Darderi

Form Index: 62.7
ELO Rating: 1179.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1589.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 264.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.7
Clay: 10.6
Grass: 9.8
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 86.1

Recent Matches

Francisco Cerundolo

Luciano Darderi

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

2
Francisco Cerundolo
vs
1
Luciano Darderi
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
2 - 1
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The semifinals of the ATP 250 tournament in Bastad, Sweden, will feature an exciting clash between Francisco Cerundolo and Luciano Darderi on clay. The predicted winner is Francisco Cerundolo, with a probability of 56.64% to win, while Luciano Darderi has a 43.36% chance. The anticipated total number of games played in this match is 24.0.

Match Analysis

Francisco Cerundolo, currently ranked 19, has a form index of 39.66 and an Elo rating of 1587.05, showcasing his consistent performance. His fatigue level stands at 198 minutes, indicating he has been moderately active in the tournament. His surface strength index of 13.55 reflects a solid capability on clay, and notably, his mean serve index of 97.07 exceeds Darderi's by more than 5 points, which could be a deciding factor. In contrast, Luciano Darderi, ranked 59, boasts a higher form index of 62.73 but has a much lower Elo rating of 1179.28. His fatigue is greater at 264 minutes, which may impact his stamina in this semifinal. Darderi's mean serve index of 95.48 and mean return index of 86.10 also show him to be competitive but slightly behind Cerundolo's metrics. In their recent performances, Darderi has shown strong form by winning all three of his last matches in Bastad, including notable victories over Sebastian Baez and Elias Ymer. Meanwhile, Cerundolo's path has been more challenging, with a recent loss to Damir Dzumhur, although he secured a win against Mariano Navone prior to that. This mixture of results highlights Darderi's current momentum, while Cerundolo will need to overcome his recent inconsistency.

Final Prediction

Cerundolo's superior serve and experience, combined with Darderi's higher fatigue level, give him the edge in this encounter. A key factor to observe will be how effectively Cerundolo can leverage his serve against Darderi's return game, potentially setting the stage for a decisive advantage.

Get Daily Tennis Predictions

Enjoyed this analysis? Subscribe to our Telegram channel and receive daily AI-driven tennis predictions directly on your phone.

Join Our Telegram Channel