Rome Italy Clay Masters 1000 Round of 64

Francisco Cerundolo vs Nicolas Jarry Prediction

Francisco Cerundolo

Rank: #18
65%
VS

Nicolas Jarry

Rank: #53
35%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Francisco Cerundolo

Ranking Trends

Francisco Cerundolo

  • Current Rank: #18 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #29 (2025-02-03)
  • 6 Months Ago: #29 (2024-11-04)
  • 9 Months Ago: #26 (2024-08-05)
  • 12 Months Ago: #22 (2024-05-06)

Nicolas Jarry

  • Current Rank: #53 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #38 (2025-02-03)
  • 6 Months Ago: #36 (2024-11-04)
  • 9 Months Ago: #24 (2024-08-05)
  • 12 Months Ago: #24 (2024-05-06)

Player Metrics

Francisco Cerundolo

Form Index: 57.8
ELO Rating: 1850.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1727.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.4
Clay: 14.7
Grass: 12.5
Serve Rating: 97.2
Return Rating: 89.2

Nicolas Jarry

Form Index: 39.4
ELO Rating: 1142.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1658.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 111.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.8
Clay: 9.9
Grass: 11.9
Serve Rating: 96.3
Return Rating: 84.6

Recent Matches

Francisco Cerundolo
❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Casper Ruud (0-2) clay Madrid 114 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Jakub Mensik (2-1) clay Madrid 131 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Alexander Zverev (2-0) clay Madrid 89 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Francisco Comesana (2-0) clay Madrid 96 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Harold Mayot (2-0) clay Madrid 89 min

Nicolas Jarry
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Hugo Gaston (2-0) clay Rome 111 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Grigor Dimitrov (0-2) clay Madrid 97 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Daniel Altmaier (2-0) clay Madrid 76 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Ugo Humbert (1-2) clay Munich 140 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Grigor Dimitrov (0-2) clay Monte Carlo 106 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Francisco Cerundolo
vs
0
Nicolas Jarry
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The match between Francisco Cerundolo and Nicolas Jarry is set to take place in the Round of 64 at the prestigious Masters 1000 tournament in Rome, Italy, on clay surface. Based on recent performances and statistical analysis, Francisco Cerundolo is predicted to win with a probability of 65.44%, while Nicolas Jarry has a win probability of 34.56%. The predicted total number of games played in this encounter is estimated to be 23.0.

Match Analysis

Francisco Cerundolo, currently ranked 18, boasts a solid form index of 57.78, an Elo rating of 1850.82, and a strong surface strength index of 14.69, indicating his proficiency on clay. He shows no signs of fatigue, having played a cumulative zero minutes in the current tournament. In contrast, Nicolas Jarry ranks 53rd, with a form index of 39.40 and a significantly lower Elo rating of 1142.76. Jarry's fatigue level is noteworthy at 111 minutes, which could impact his performance. Furthermore, Cerundolo's mean serve index (97.24) surpasses Jarry's (96.33) by a narrow margin, while the mean return index for Cerundolo (89.22) is also higher than Jarry's (84.65) by over 5 points, highlighting Cerundolo's stronger returning capabilities. Analyzing their recent performances, Cerundolo's last three matches include a victory over Alexander Zverev and a subsequent loss to Casper Ruud, demonstrating both his competitive edge and potential vulnerability. Jarry, on the other hand, has had mixed results, winning his latest encounter against Hugo Gaston but losing against Grigor Dimitrov in Madrid. This inconsistency may play a crucial role in the match dynamics.

Final Prediction

Cerundolo's higher ranking, superior form index, and significantly better return capabilities provide him with a competitive edge going into this match. A key factor to watch will be Jarry's ability to manage his fatigue levels and adapt to Cerundolo's aggressive return game throughout the encounter.