Toronto Canada Hard Masters 1000 Round of 32

Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Francisco Cerundolo Prediction

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Rank: #58
45%
VS

Francisco Cerundolo

Rank: #19
55%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Francisco Cerundolo

Player Metrics

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Form Index: 38.4
ELO Rating: 1093.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1604.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 257.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.4
Clay: 9.6
Grass: 9.8
Serve Rating: 97.2
Return Rating: 87.0

Francisco Cerundolo

Form Index: 40.2
ELO Rating: 1434.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1707.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 178.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.4
Clay: 12.4
Grass: 11.7
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 89.4

Recent Matches

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

  • Last Match: vs Tallon Griekspoor (2-0) hard Toronto 119 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert (2-1) hard Toronto 138 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Filip Misolic (1-2) clay Kitzbuhel 162 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Arthur Cazaux (1-2) clay Gstaad 150 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Jack Pinnington Jones (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Francisco Cerundolo

  • Last Match: vs Jaume Munar (2-1) hard Toronto 178 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Carlos Taberner (1-2) clay Umag 200 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Luciano Darderi (1-2) clay Bastad 153 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Damir Dzumhur (0-2) clay Bastad 106 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Mariano Navone (2-0) clay Bastad 92 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
vs
1
Francisco Cerundolo
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
0 - 1
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 of the Masters 1000 tournament in Toronto, Tomas Martin Etcheverry faces Francisco Cerundolo on hard courts. The match is expected to be competitive, with Cerundolo predicted to win, holding a probability of 54.81%, while Etcheverry's chances stand at 45.19%. The predicted total number of games played in this encounter is set at 23.

Match Analysis

Tomas Martin Etcheverry, currently ranked 58, has a form index of 38.39 and an Elo rating of 1093.40. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament is higher at 257 minutes, which could impact his performance. His surface strength index is 10.43, and he boasts a mean serve index of 97.23 alongside a mean return index of 86.96. In contrast, Francisco Cerundolo is ranked 19 with a form index of 40.24 and an Elo rating of 1434.09. He has less fatigue at 178 minutes and a stronger surface strength index of 13.41. Notably, Cerundolo's mean return index of 89.37 surpasses Etcheverry's by more than 5 points, suggesting he may have the advantage in returning serves. In their recent performances, Etcheverry has won his last two matches in Toronto, defeating Tallon Griekspoor and Pierre-Hugues Herbert, while his previous loss against Filip Misolic in Kitzbuhel highlights a mixed form. Cerundolo also comes off a victory against Jaume Munar but has faced challenges in his last two tournaments, losing both matches on clay. This indicates that while both players have shown resilience, Cerundolo's higher ranking and recent success on hard courts could play a crucial role in this matchup.

Final Prediction

Francisco Cerundolo's edge stems from his higher ranking, stronger fatigue management, and better performance in returning serves, which may prove decisive in this matchup. A key factor to watch will be how effectively each player can handle their opponent's serve, especially given the differences in their return indices.