Geneva Switzerland Clay Atp 250 Round of 16

Francisco Comesana vs Jaume Munar: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Francisco Comesana

Rank: #114
33%
VS

Jaume Munar

Rank: #38
67%
Expected Total Games: 27.1
Predicted Winner: Jaume Munar

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Player Metrics

Francisco Comesana

Form Index: 48.8
ELO Rating: 1585.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1571.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 255.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 16.9
Clay: 17.9
Grass: 8.1
Serve Rating: 96.0
Return Rating: 93.1

Jaume Munar

Form Index: 38.2
ELO Rating: 1648.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1702.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 74.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 32.3
Clay: 17.9
Grass: 19.7
Serve Rating: 94.7
Return Rating: 86.3

Recent Matches

Francisco Comesana

  • Last Match: vs Valentin Royer (2-1) clay Geneva 122 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Max Hans Rehberg (2-0) clay Geneva 65 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Henry Bernet (2-0) clay Geneva 68 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Jan-Lennard Struff (0-2) clay Rome 81 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Leandro Riedi (2-1) clay Rome 122 min

Jaume Munar

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Francisco Comesana
vs
0
Jaume Munar
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

At the Geneva clay event in Switzerland, Round of 16 action pits Francisco Comesana against Jaume Munar in an ATP 250-level setting on slow, high-bounce clay. The model favors Jaume Munar to advance (66.58% win probability) over Francisco Comesana (33.42%), with a projected total of roughly 27.1 games in the match.

Match Analysis

Comesana arrives as world No. 114 with an Elo of 1585.8 and a strong recent run in Geneva — three straight wins, including a 122-minute last match — but carries heavy tournament fatigue (255 minutes on court). His form index sits at 48.8 and his surface strength index is 17.89. Munar, ranked 38 with a higher Elo of 1648.6, shows lower cumulative fatigue (74 minutes), a form index of 38.2 and a nearly identical surface strength index (17.88). The contrast in minutes played is a clear physical variable; Munar should be fresher late in rallies and over longer games. On serve and return metrics, Comesana posts a marginally higher mean serve index (96.02 vs 94.71) but the difference is not substantial. The mean return index gap is notable: Comesana’s 93.11 versus Munar’s 86.28 (difference >5), suggesting Comesana can be a persistent breaker and may pressure Munar’s service games. Over their last three matches, Comesana has built momentum with straight-set victories earlier and a tougher three-set win most recently; Munar has been more intermittent, winning his Geneva opener comfortably but arriving off longer, mixed results in Rome and Madrid.

Total Games Predictions

🎾
Expected Total Games in Match 27.1 Most likely outcome: 27 games

📊 Total Games Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each total games outcome

Probability distribution chart for total games in Francisco Comesana versus Jaume Munar. The X-axis shows possible total games values and the Y-axis shows the predicted probability percentage for each outcome.
Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of total games ≤ X

Cumulative distribution function chart for total games in Francisco Comesana versus Jaume Munar. The curve rises from 0% to 100%, showing the cumulative probability for each games total threshold.

Games Spread Predictions

📈
Expected Games Spread (Francisco Comesana - Jaume Munar) -2.5 Most likely spread: -3 (Jaume Munar wins 3 more games)

📊 Games Spread Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each games spread outcome

Probability distribution chart for games spread in Francisco Comesana versus Jaume Munar. Positive values indicate Francisco Comesana winning more games, negative values indicate Jaume Munar winning more games.
Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of spread ≤ X

Cumulative distribution function chart for games spread in Francisco Comesana versus Jaume Munar. The curve shows the cumulative probability for each spread threshold.

Aces and Double Faults Predictions

The aces prediction for this clay match is modest: the predicted aces total is 8.92, while the expected double faults sit at 5.35. Clay generally suppresses serve-and-volley outcomes, reducing the predicted aces and tending to increase the expected double faults as rallies and physical demand accumulate. Neither player holds a markedly superior serve rating, so serve dominance is unlikely to dramatically inflate the predicted aces.
🎯
Expected Total Aces 8.9 Most likely: 8 aces
Expected Total Double Faults 5.3 Most likely: 5 double faults

🎯 Aces Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each ace count outcome

Probability distribution chart for total aces in Francisco Comesana versus Jaume Munar. Higher ace counts are more likely on faster surfaces like grass.
Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of aces ≤ X

Cumulative distribution function chart for total aces in Francisco Comesana versus Jaume Munar. The curve shows the cumulative probability for each aces threshold.

Double Faults Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each double fault count outcome

Probability distribution chart for double faults in Francisco Comesana versus Jaume Munar. Clay surface matches tend to produce more double faults due to fatigue in longer rallies.
Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of double faults ≤ X

Cumulative distribution function chart for double faults in Francisco Comesana versus Jaume Munar. The curve shows the cumulative probability for each double faults threshold.

🎯 Match Format Predictions

Tiebreak Likelihood

Probability that any tiebreak is played in this match

36.8% Predicted: No tiebreak

Exact Score Distribution BO3

Probability of each set-by-set outcome (Francisco Comesana's perspective)

0-2 Most likely set score (41.4%)
Probability distribution of the final set score from Francisco Comesana's perspective. Format: BO3.

Final Prediction

Munar’s higher ranking and Elo, combined with far less accumulated fatigue, gives him the edge in Geneva’s late-afternoon exchanges. The match hinge to watch: Comesana’s superior return numbers versus Munar’s freshness — if Comesana can convert return pressure early, he can lengthen rallies and tilt the contest; if Munar stays crisp, his edge looks decisive.

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