Gstaad Switzerland Clay Atp 250 Round of 16

Francisco Comesana vs Roberto Carballes Baena Prediction

Francisco Comesana

Rank: #65
51%
VS

Roberto Carballes Baena

Rank: #74
49%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Francisco Comesana

Player Metrics

Francisco Comesana

Form Index: 23.7
ELO Rating: 766.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1561.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 76.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.1
Clay: 7.0
Grass: 5.8
Serve Rating: 97.0
Return Rating: 87.0

Roberto Carballes Baena

Form Index: 32.5
ELO Rating: 945.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1559.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 153.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.0
Clay: 7.8
Grass: 8.4
Serve Rating: 94.9
Return Rating: 87.5

Recent Matches

Francisco Comesana

  • Last Match: vs Marco Trungelliti (2-0) clay Gstaad 76 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Corentin Moutet (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Jenson Brooksby (0-2) grass Eastbourne 105 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Pablo Carreno Busta (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry (0-2) clay Hamburg 119 min

Roberto Carballes Baena

  • Last Match: vs Carlos Taberner (2-1) clay Gstaad 153 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alex de Minaur (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Sebastian Ofner (0-1) clay Rome 50 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Jacob Fearnley (0-2) clay Barcelona 113 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Luciano Darderi (0-2) clay Marrakech 92 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Francisco Comesana
vs
0
Roberto Carballes Baena
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 match at the Gstaad tournament in Switzerland, Francisco Comesana faces Roberto Carballes Baena on clay. The predicted winner is Francisco Comesana, with a win probability of 50.65% compared to Carballes Baena's 49.35%. The match is expected to be competitive, with a predicted total of 23 games played.

Match Analysis

Francisco Comesana, currently ranked 65, boasts a form index of 23.73 and an Elo rating of 766.89. He has a fatigue level of 76 minutes from the current tournament, indicating he is relatively fresh. His surface strength index is 7.00, while his mean serve index is notably high at 97.04, suggesting he has a significant advantage in serving capabilities. On the other hand, Roberto Carballes Baena, ranked 74 with a form index of 32.45 and an Elo rating of 945.04, has a higher fatigue level of 153 minutes. His surface strength index is 7.79, and his mean serve index of 94.88 indicates he is slightly less effective on serve compared to Comesana. The difference in their mean serve index exceeds 5 points, highlighting Comesana's serving edge. Furthermore, their mean return indices are closely matched, with Comesana at 86.97 and Carballes Baena at 87.48. Reviewing recent performances, Comesana secured an impressive victory against Marco Trungelliti in his last match, winning in straight sets. However, he faced challenges prior to that, losing both of his matches at Wimbledon and Eastbourne. Carballes Baena, in contrast, enjoyed a solid win against Carlos Taberner in his last outing, but he struggled in his previous two matches, losing both at Wimbledon and in Rome. This contrast in momentum could play a role in their upcoming encounter.

Final Prediction

Francisco Comesana's serving prowess and lower fatigue levels provide him with a crucial advantage against Carballes Baena. The key factor to observe will be Comesana's ability to leverage his serve effectively, potentially dictating the pace of the match and stifling Carballes Baena's return game.