S Hertogenbosch Netherlands Grass Atp 250 Round of 32

Gabriel Diallo vs Aleksandar Vukic Prediction

Gabriel Diallo

Rank: #55
58%
VS

Aleksandar Vukic

Rank: #79
42%
Expected Total Games: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Gabriel Diallo

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Ranking Trends

Gabriel Diallo

  • Current #55 2025-06-09
  • 3 mo ago #88 2025-03-03
  • 6 mo ago #87 2024-12-09
  • 9 mo ago #103 2024-09-09
  • 12 mo ago #165 2024-06-10

Aleksandar Vukic

  • Current #79 2025-06-09
  • 3 mo ago #64 2025-03-03
  • 6 mo ago #68 2024-12-09
  • 9 mo ago #94 2024-09-09
  • 12 mo ago #87 2024-06-10

Player Metrics

Gabriel Diallo

Form Index: 44.5
ELO Rating: 1033.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1573.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.3
Clay: 8.0
Grass: 5.1
Serve Rating: 97.5
Return Rating: 87.0

Aleksandar Vukic

Form Index: 12.7
ELO Rating: 660.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1541.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.2
Clay: 5.1
Grass: 8.2
Serve Rating: 96.1
Return Rating: 86.9

Recent Matches

Gabriel Diallo
❌ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

Aleksandar Vukic
❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Gabriel Diallo
vs
0
Aleksandar Vukic
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the s-Hertogenbosch tournament on grass, Gabriel Diallo is set to face Aleksandar Vukic. With a predicted win probability of 57.65% for Diallo and 42.35% for Vukic, the match is expected to be competitive, with an estimated total of 24 games to be played.

Match Analysis

Gabriel Diallo, currently ranked 55th, boasts a higher form index of 44.49 and a significantly better Elo rating of 1033.37 compared to Aleksandar Vukic's rank of 79 and Elo rating of 660.53. Diallo's surface strength index of 5.09 indicates a solid performance on grass, while Vukic's slightly better index of 8.21 suggests he is also comfortable on this surface. Notably, Diallo's mean serve index of 97.50 is marginally higher than Vukic's 96.10, indicating a slight edge in serving capability. The return indices are closely matched, with Diallo at 86.99 and Vukic at 86.88, showing their return games are comparable. In their recent performances, Diallo has had a mixed run, with one victory out of his last three matches, including a loss in his most recent outing at Roland Garros. Vukic, on the other hand, has faced a tougher stretch, losing all three of his last matches, including a disappointing exit at the same tournament. This trend showcases Diallo's ability to secure a win recently, whereas Vukic has struggled to find form.

Final Prediction

Gabriel Diallo's higher ranking, form index, and recent match performance provide him with a distinct advantage going into this match. A critical factor to monitor will be their serving efficiency, as Diallo's marginal superiority in serve can play a pivotal role in determining the outcome.

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