Wimbledon Great Britain Grass Grand Slam Round of 128

Gael Monfils vs Ugo Humbert Prediction

Gael Monfils

Rank: #48
38%
VS

Ugo Humbert

Rank: #18
62%
Expected Total Games: 39.0
Predicted Winner: Ugo Humbert

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Ranking Trends

Gael Monfils

  • Current #48 2025-06-30
  • 3 mo ago #42 2025-03-31
  • 6 mo ago #55 2024-12-30
  • 9 mo ago #46 2024-09-30
  • 12 mo ago #33 2024-07-01

Ugo Humbert

  • Current #18 2025-06-30
  • 3 mo ago #20 2025-03-31
  • 6 mo ago #14 2024-12-30
  • 9 mo ago #15 2024-09-30
  • 12 mo ago #16 2024-07-01

Player Metrics

Gael Monfils

Form Index: 34.0
ELO Rating: 1408.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1614.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 14.8
Clay: 8.7
Grass: 9.0
Serve Rating: 97.2
Return Rating: 85.9

Ugo Humbert

Form Index: 48.3
ELO Rating: 1714.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1667.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 17.5
Clay: 15.1
Grass: 18.8
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 84.6

Recent Matches

Gael Monfils
❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

Ugo Humbert
❌ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

2
Gael Monfils
vs
1
Ugo Humbert
Hard
2 - 1
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 128 at Wimbledon 2025, Gael Monfils is set to face Ugo Humbert on grass courts in Great Britain. Ugo Humbert is predicted to emerge victorious with a win probability of 61.83%, while Gael Monfils has a 38.17% chance of winning. The anticipated total number of games played in this match is 39.

Match Analysis

Ugo Humbert, ranked 18th, has a form index of 48.33 and an Elo rating of 1714.86, indicating a solid performance level. He possesses a surface strength index of 18.81, which reflects his competence on grass surfaces. In contrast, Gael Monfils is ranked 48th, with a significantly lower form index of 34.03 and an Elo rating of 1408.61. Monfils also has a lower surface strength index of 9.03. The difference in their mean serve indices is minimal, with Monfils at 97.18 and Humbert at 95.60. However, the mean return index is slightly more favorable to Monfils, who has an index of 85.93 compared to Humbert's 84.58. In their recent performances, Humbert has shown resilience, winning two out of his last three matches, including a strong victory against Billy Harris. However, he lost his most recent match against Jenson Brooksby. Monfils, on the other hand, has also had mixed results, winning one match against Hugo Dellien but losing his last two at Roland Garros and Stuttgart. This suggests that Humbert has a slight edge in terms of recent form.

Final Prediction

Ugo Humbert's higher ranking, better recent performance, and overall stronger statistics give him a clear advantage heading into this matchup against Gael Monfils. A key factor to monitor will be how both players adapt their game to the grass surface, particularly in their service games, which could be pivotal in determining the match outcome.

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