Brussels Belgium Hard Atp 250 Round of 16

Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Prediction

Nikoloz Basilashvili

Rank: #100
40%
VS

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Rank: #37
60%
Expected Total Games: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

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Ranking Trends

Nikoloz Basilashvili

  • Current #100 2025-09-29
  • 3 mo ago #112 2025-07-14
  • 6 mo ago #160 2025-04-14
  • 9 mo ago #206 2025-01-13
  • 12 mo ago #318 2024-10-14

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

  • Current #37 2025-09-29
  • 3 mo ago #45 2025-07-14
  • 6 mo ago #34 2025-04-14
  • 9 mo ago #30 2025-01-13
  • 12 mo ago #48 2024-10-14

Player Metrics

Nikoloz Basilashvili

Form Index: 57.0
ELO Rating: 630.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1584.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 199.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.2
Clay: 3.3
Grass: 4.1
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 86.3

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Form Index: 51.1
ELO Rating: 1083.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1544.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 128.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.6
Clay: 10.7
Grass: 13.4
Serve Rating: 97.7
Return Rating: 82.4

Recent Matches

Nikoloz Basilashvili
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Emil Ruusuvuori (2-1) hard Brussels 128 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Holger Rune (1-2) hard Shanghai 148 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Taylor Fritz (2-0) hard Shanghai 85 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Luca Nardi (2-0) hard Shanghai 99 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Lorenzo Musetti (1-2) hard Beijing 144 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Nikoloz Basilashvili
vs
0
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

As the Round of 16 unfolds at the Brussels tournament on hard courts, Nikoloz Basilashvili faces Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard in a highly anticipated clash. The forecast leans towards Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard, with a winning probability of 59.89%, compared to Nikoloz Basilashvili's 40.11%. The predicted total number of games played in this match is set at 24.0.

Match Analysis

Nikoloz Basilashvili, currently ranked 100, has a form index of 56.97 and an Elo rating of 630.26. His fatigue level stands at 199 minutes from the current tournament, which may affect his performance. On the other hand, Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard holds a significantly higher rank at 37, with a form index of 51.12 and an Elo rating of 1083.74. His fatigue is considerably lower at 128 minutes. Notably, Perricard's mean serve index at 97.73 exceeds Basilashvili's mean serve index of 95.58 by more than 5 points, indicating a potential advantage in service games. Furthermore, the difference in mean return index is less than 5 points, suggesting competitive return capabilities for both players. In their recent performances, Basilashvili has shown resilience, winning two out of his last three matches, including a convincing victory against Quentin Halys in his most recent outing. However, he faced a defeat against Marin Cilic in Shanghai. Meanwhile, Perricard also secured two wins in his last three matches, with his latest victory against Emil Ruusuvuori showcasing his ability to compete at a high level.

Final Prediction

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard's higher ranking and Elo rating, combined with a more favorable fatigue level, provide him with an edge going into this match. A critical factor to watch will be the effectiveness of Perricard's serve, which could significantly influence the match dynamics.

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