Auckland New Zealand Hard Atp 250 Round of 32

Roberto Bautista Agut vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Prediction

Roberto Bautista Agut

Rank: #90
42%
VS

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Rank: #67
58%
Expected Total Games: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

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Ranking Trends

Roberto Bautista Agut

  • Current #90 2026-01-05
  • 3 mo ago #57 2025-10-13
  • 6 mo ago #54 2025-07-14
  • 9 mo ago #53 2025-04-14
  • 12 mo ago #53 2025-01-13

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

  • Current #67 2026-01-05
  • 3 mo ago #37 2025-10-13
  • 6 mo ago #45 2025-07-14
  • 9 mo ago #34 2025-04-14
  • 12 mo ago #30 2025-01-13

Player Metrics

Roberto Bautista Agut

Form Index: 48.7
ELO Rating: 670.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1606.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 18.0
Clay: 18.7
Grass: 21.9
Serve Rating: 42.6
Return Rating: 65.7

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Form Index: 64.1
ELO Rating: 907.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1667.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 34.5
Clay: 22.0
Grass: 21.4
Serve Rating: 100.0
Return Rating: 87.3

Recent Matches

Roberto Bautista Agut
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
❌ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Roberto Bautista Agut
vs
0
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the Auckland tournament in New Zealand, Roberto Bautista Agut faces Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard on hard courts. The match sees Mpetshi Perricard predicted to win with a probability of 57.73%, compared to Bautista Agut's 42.27%. A total of approximately 24 games is expected to be played during this encounter.

Match Analysis

Roberto Bautista Agut is currently ranked 90 with a form index of 48.73 and an Elo rating of 670. His surface strength index of 18.03 indicates some difficulty on hard courts, while his mean serve index stands at 42.56, and his mean return index is a respectable 65.74. In contrast, Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard, ranked 67, boasts a significantly higher form index of 64.12 and an Elo rating of 907.43. His surface strength index of 34.53 suggests a strong affinity for hard courts, and he excels with a perfect mean serve index of 100.0 and a mean return index of 87.30, showcasing a considerable advantage in both serving and returning capabilities. Analyzing their recent performances, Bautista Agut has had a mixed bag, with one win against Christopher O'Connell and two losses to Ben Shelton and Marton Fucsovics, indicating a struggle to find consistent form. Mpetshi Perricard, on the other hand, has shown promise with two wins against Rinky Hijikata and Tommy Paul, alongside a narrow loss to Aleksandar Kovacevic. This recent success further strengthens the case for Mpetshi Perricard as the favorite in this matchup.

Final Prediction

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard's current form, combined with his superior serving and returning statistics, provides him with a clear advantage over Roberto Bautista Agut. A key factor to watch will be how effectively Bautista Agut can handle Mpetshi Perricard's powerful serve, which may dictate the tempo of the match.

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