Auckland New Zealand Hard Atp 250 Round of 32

Hamad Medjedovic vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Prediction

Hamad Medjedovic

Rank: #80
48%
VS

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Rank: #58
52%
Expected Total Games: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Aleksandar Kovacevic

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Ranking Trends

Hamad Medjedovic

  • Current #80 2026-01-05
  • 3 mo ago #64 2025-10-13
  • 6 mo ago #72 2025-07-14
  • 9 mo ago #72 2025-04-14
  • 12 mo ago #98 2025-01-13

Aleksandar Kovacevic

  • Current #58 2026-01-05
  • 3 mo ago #69 2025-10-13
  • 6 mo ago #76 2025-07-14
  • 9 mo ago #79 2025-04-14
  • 12 mo ago #109 2025-01-13

Player Metrics

Hamad Medjedovic

Form Index: 54.3
ELO Rating: 747.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1559.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 137
Surface Strength:
Hard: 30.3
Clay: 18.9
Grass: 14.8
Serve Rating: 63.8
Return Rating: 50.4

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Form Index: 69.9
ELO Rating: 961.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1561.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 28.6
Clay: 18.4
Grass: 19.4
Serve Rating: 98.6
Return Rating: 91.5

Recent Matches

Hamad Medjedovic
✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌

Aleksandar Kovacevic
❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

2
Hamad Medjedovic
vs
0
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Hard
2 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the Auckland ATP 250 tournament, Hamad Medjedovic faces off against Aleksandar Kovacevic on hard court in New Zealand. The match is expected to be competitive, with Kovacevic slightly favored to win, holding a probability of 51.77% compared to Medjedovic's 48.23%. The predicted total number of games for this encounter is 24.0.

Match Analysis

Hamad Medjedovic, currently ranked 80, has a form index of 54.31 and an Elo rating of 747.50. He has shown resilience, recently winning two matches in Auckland with straight sets, but carries a cumulative fatigue of 137 minutes. His surface strength index is 30.25, coupled with a mean serve index of 63.84 and a mean return index of 50.42. In contrast, Aleksandar Kovacevic ranks higher at 58 with a form index of 69.88 and a significantly better Elo rating of 961.12. Notably, Kovacevic has zero cumulative fatigue from matches in this tournament and possesses a higher mean serve index of 98.58 and an impressive mean return index of 91.46, indicating his strong performance on hard courts. Recent performances highlight Medjedovic's successful run in Auckland, where he has not lost a set in his last two matches. However, Kovacevic's last outing in Brisbane saw him lose to Brandon Nakashima, although he had prior wins against Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard and Cameron Norrie, showcasing his ability to compete at a higher level despite a recent setback.

Final Prediction

Aleksandar Kovacevic's combination of higher ranking, superior Elo rating, and fresh legs with no fatigue gives him a distinct edge over Medjedovic. A key factor to observe will be how effectively Medjedovic can handle Kovacevic's powerful serve and return game, which could dictate the flow of the match.

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