Hamad Medjedovic vs Felix Auger-Aliassime: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Auger-Aliassime arrives with clear statistical advantages: he is ranked 8 vs Medjedovic’s 80, has a substantially higher Elo (4062.00 vs 751.18) and a stronger form index (66.26 vs 43.04). Surface strength favors Auger-Aliassime as well (28.84 vs 6.41). There is a notable serving gap — Auger-Aliassime’s mean serve index is 98.46 compared to Medjedovic’s 82.59 (difference >5) — and a large return-gap too (87.72 vs 48.52, difference >5). Medjedovic’s higher cumulative fatigue (353 minutes on court) contrasts with Auger-Aliassime’s lighter tournament minutes (92), which may affect Medjedovic’s movement and serve consistency late in rallies. Looking at recent results, Medjedovic has shown streaky form this week with wins over Zizou Bergs and Nikoloz Basilashvili and a loss to Luka Pavlovic; match lengths (65–149 minutes) contributed to his tournament minutes. Auger-Aliassime has been steady, winning his last three matches including a straight-sets victory over Alexei Popyrin and two wins in Montpellier prior, generally in shorter matches. That consistency and lower fatigue profile supports the model’s edge to Auger-Aliassime.