Toronto Canada Hard Masters 1000 Round of 32

Alexandre Muller vs Holger Rune Prediction

Alexandre Muller

Rank: #39
35%
VS

Holger Rune

Rank: #9
65%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Holger Rune

Player Metrics

Alexandre Muller

Form Index: 38.8
ELO Rating: 1288.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1610.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 127.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.5
Clay: 11.2
Grass: 8.6
Serve Rating: 96.7
Return Rating: 88.9

Holger Rune

Form Index: 46.3
ELO Rating: 2246.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1830.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 76.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 18.3
Clay: 20.6
Grass: 21.9
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 84.9

Recent Matches

Alexandre Muller

  • Last Match: vs Miomir Kecmanovic (2-1) hard Toronto 127 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Corentin Moutet (0-1) hard Washington 57 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Beibit Zhukayev (2-0) hard Washington 86 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Novak Djokovic (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Roman Safiullin (0-2) grass Mallorca 115 min

Holger Rune

  • Last Match: vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (2-0) hard Toronto 76 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Nicolas Jarry (2-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Roberto Bautista Agut (1-2) grass London 146 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Mackenzie McDonald (2-1) grass London 81 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Lorenzo Musetti (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Alexandre Muller
vs
0
Holger Rune
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match at the Toronto Masters 1000 features Alexandre Muller facing off against Holger Rune in the Round of 32 on hard court. The predicted winner is Holger Rune, with a probability of 64.84% to win, while Alexandre Muller has a probability of 35.16%. The forecast suggests a total of 23 games will be played during this encounter.

Match Analysis

Holger Rune, currently ranked 9th, boasts a strong Elo rating of 2246.91 and a solid form index of 46.27. His surface strength index of 18.25 indicates a proficiency on hard courts, and he has shown resilience with a cumulative fatigue of only 76 minutes. In contrast, Alexandre Muller, ranked 39th, has an Elo rating of 1288.28 and a lower form index of 38.75, reflecting a more inconsistent performance. Muller’s surface strength index is also considerably lower at 8.49. Notably, Muller has a mean serve index of 96.68, outperforming Rune's 95.64, but Rune's return index of 84.92 is slightly better than Muller's 88.92, suggesting Rune is likely to capitalize on Muller's service games more effectively. In their recent performances, both players have shown mixed results. Muller has won 2 of his last 3 matches, with his latest victory coming against Miomir Kecmanovic after a long match lasting 127 minutes. However, he also suffered a defeat in his previous match against Corentin Moutet. On the other hand, Rune has had a more favorable run, winning his last match against Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard in just 76 minutes, although he faced tough competition at Wimbledon before that, losing in a close contest against Nicolas Jarry.

Final Prediction

Holger Rune holds a clear edge in this matchup, bolstered by a higher rank, better recent form, and a significantly stronger performance on hard courts. One key factor to watch will be how Rune's return game holds up against Muller's serve, as this could determine the flow of the match and impact the final outcome.