Rome Italy Clay Masters 1000 Round of 16

Hubert Hurkacz vs Jakub Mensik Prediction

Hubert Hurkacz

Rank: #31
48%
VS

Jakub Mensik

Rank: #21
52%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Jakub Mensik

Ranking Trends

Hubert Hurkacz

  • Current Rank: #31 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #21 (2025-02-03)
  • 6 Months Ago: #16 (2024-11-04)
  • 9 Months Ago: #6 (2024-08-05)
  • 12 Months Ago: #9 (2024-05-06)

Jakub Mensik

  • Current Rank: #21 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #47 (2025-02-03)
  • 6 Months Ago: #49 (2024-11-04)
  • 9 Months Ago: #64 (2024-08-05)
  • 12 Months Ago: #65 (2024-05-06)

Player Metrics

Hubert Hurkacz

Form Index: 46.7
ELO Rating: 2328.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1816.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 179.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 16.8
Clay: 21.6
Grass: 22.5
Serve Rating: 98.5
Return Rating: 84.6

Jakub Mensik

Form Index: 58.2
ELO Rating: 1680.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1638.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 191.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 16.6
Clay: 11.1
Grass: 8.3
Serve Rating: 96.3
Return Rating: 87.8

Recent Matches

Hubert Hurkacz
✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Marcos Giron (2-1) clay Rome 96 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Pedro Martinez (2-0) clay Rome 83 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Benjamin Bonzi (0-2) clay Madrid 87 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Alex de Minaur (0-2) hard Indian Wells 73 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Hugo Gaston (2-0) hard Indian Wells 89 min

Jakub Mensik
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Fabian Marozsan (2-0) clay Rome 89 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Matteo Gigante (2-0) clay Rome 102 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Francisco Cerundolo (1-2) clay Madrid 131 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Alexander Bublik (2-0) clay Madrid 56 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Ben Shelton (2-0) clay Madrid 68 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Hubert Hurkacz
vs
0
Jakub Mensik
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 at the Rome Masters 1000, Hubert Hurkacz faces off against Jakub Mensik on clay courts in Italy. The match promises to be competitive, with Jakub Mensik predicted to emerge victorious, holding a win probability of 52.09% compared to Hurkacz's 47.91%. The anticipated total number of games played is estimated at 23.

Match Analysis

Hubert Hurkacz currently ranks 31st, with a form index of 46.71 and an Elo rating of 2328. His fatigue level stands at 179 minutes, reflecting the cumulative time spent on court. Hurkacz's surface strength index is 21.58, indicating a moderate proficiency on clay. In contrast, Jakub Mensik is ranked 21st, showcasing a better form index of 58.17 and a lower Elo rating of 1681. Mensik's fatigue is slightly higher at 191 minutes, and his surface strength index is 11.07, suggesting he has room for improvement on clay. Notably, Hurkacz possesses a mean serve index of 98.53 while Mensik's is 96.27, creating a narrow margin of 2.26 points. However, Mensik excels with a mean return index of 87.77, outperforming Hurkacz's 84.65 by over 3 points, which could be crucial in dictating the match's flow. In their recent matches, Hurkacz has posted a mixed record, winning two out of his last three matches, including a recent victory against Marcos Giron in Rome. However, he suffered a defeat to Benjamin Bonzi in Madrid. Conversely, Mensik has shown impressive form, winning all his last three matches in Rome, including straight-set victories against both Fabian Marozsan and Matteo Gigante, despite a previous loss to Francisco Cerundolo in Madrid.

Final Prediction

Jakub Mensik's superior form and return capabilities provide him an edge going into this match against Hubert Hurkacz. A key factor to watch will be Mensik's ability to capitalize on return games, as his higher return index may disrupt Hurkacz’s service rhythm, ultimately influencing the match's outcome.