Toronto Canada Hard Masters 1000 Round of 128

Mattia Bellucci vs Hugo Gaston Prediction

Mattia Bellucci

Rank: #63
63%
VS

Hugo Gaston

Rank: #99
37%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Mattia Bellucci

Ranking Trends

Mattia Bellucci

  • Current Rank: #63 (2025-07-21)
  • 3 Months Ago: #66 (2025-04-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #98 (2025-01-27)
  • 9 Months Ago: #105 (2024-10-28)
  • 12 Months Ago: #125 (2024-07-29)

Hugo Gaston

  • Current Rank: #99 (2025-07-21)
  • 3 Months Ago: #80 (2025-04-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #82 (2025-01-27)
  • 9 Months Ago: #81 (2024-10-28)
  • 12 Months Ago: #61 (2024-07-29)

Player Metrics

Mattia Bellucci

Form Index: 64.2
ELO Rating: 818.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1544.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.3
Clay: 5.7
Grass: 6.8
Serve Rating: 97.5
Return Rating: 86.2

Hugo Gaston

Form Index: 28.7
ELO Rating: 655.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1548.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.5
Clay: 6.6
Grass: 6.2
Serve Rating: 95.2
Return Rating: 89.6

Recent Matches

Mattia Bellucci
❌ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Cameron Norrie (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Jiri Lehecka (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Oliver Crawford (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Billy Harris (0-2) grass Eastbourne 89 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Quentin Halys (2-0) grass Eastbourne 68 min

Hugo Gaston
❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Norbert Gombos (0-2) clay Kitzbuhel 86 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Damir Dzumhur (1-2) clay Bastad 108 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Chun-Hsin Tseng (2-0) clay Bastad 78 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Jakub Mensik (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Ugo Blanchet (3-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Mattia Bellucci
vs
0
Hugo Gaston
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The match between Mattia Bellucci and Hugo Gaston is set to take place at the Hard Court of the Toronto Masters 1000 tournament in Canada, as they vie for a spot in the Round of 128. The predicted winner is Mattia Bellucci, with a probability of 62.77% of securing the victory, while Hugo Gaston stands at 37.23%. The anticipated total number of games played in this contest is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Mattia Bellucci, currently ranked 63, boasts a solid form index of 64.20 and an Elo rating of 818.87. His surface strength index of 7.32 indicates a proficiency on hard courts, which will be beneficial in this matchup. Notably, Bellucci's mean serve index of 97.50 is significantly higher than Gaston's 95.22, giving him a slight edge in service games. In contrast, Hugo Gaston, ranked 99, has a lower form index of 28.68 and an Elo rating of 655.33, which reflects his recent struggles. Both players have zero cumulative fatigue from the current tournament, indicating they are fresh heading into this encounter. In their last three matches, Bellucci has shown resilience, winning two out of three, including an impressive performance against Jiri Lehecka, where he won decisively. Conversely, Gaston has faced challenges, losing his last two matches on clay, with his most recent defeat coming against Norbert Gombos. This stark contrast in recent performances and momentum plays a crucial role in the upcoming match.

Final Prediction

Mattia Bellucci is favored to win due to his superior recent form and stronger performance metrics, particularly in serving. A key factor to watch will be Bellucci's ability to capitalize on his serve against Gaston's return game, as this could dictate the flow of the match.