Jaime Faria vs Jenson Brooksby: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

The model’s edge for Brooksby stems mainly from head-to-head history, which adds 3.1 percentage points to his chance, supported by recent results at the same tournament level which add another 1.7 points. Serve and return metrics also nudge the projection 1.5 points toward Brooksby. Those drivers combine with player profiles that are close in many respects. Jaime Faria sits at rank 79 with a higher Elo of 1717.4 and a form index of 49.67. Faria has accumulated 146 minutes on court in this event, showing match rhythm but also some fatigue. His surface strength index on hard is 24.17, which is modest but slightly better than Brooksby. Jenson Brooksby is ranked 74, with a lower Elo of 1604.6 and a form index of 43.76. He enters with zero minutes logged at this tournament, so he should be fresher on paper. Brooksby’s surface strength index is 20.39. Serve and return profiles are nearly identical: mean serve index 95.36 for Faria and 95.12 for Brooksby. Mean return indexes are 88.26 and 88.02 respectively. Because those differences are negligible, they do not materially swing the forecast. Recent form over the last three matches favors Faria on a local basis. Faria won his two most recent matches at Cincinnati, beating Yibing Wu and Nikoloz Basilashvili in straight sets after a prior loss in Toronto. Brooksby’s last three show inconsistency, with a win over Adam Walton and losses to Ben Shelton and Coleman Wong.