Los Cabos Mexico Hard Atp 250 Round of 32

James Duckworth vs Adrian Mannarino Prediction

James Duckworth

Rank: #103
38%
VS

Adrian Mannarino

Rank: #123
62%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Adrian Mannarino

Player Metrics

James Duckworth

Form Index: 30.7
ELO Rating: 494.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1541.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.6
Clay: 4.1
Grass: 5.6
Serve Rating: 97.7
Return Rating: 83.9

Adrian Mannarino

Form Index: 86.6
ELO Rating: 624.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1636.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.4
Clay: 4.9
Grass: 6.5
Serve Rating: 95.2
Return Rating: 87.2

Recent Matches

James Duckworth

  • Last Match: vs Felix Auger-Aliassime (2-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (1-2) grass Eastbourne 135 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Aleksandar Vukic (2-1) grass Eastbourne 141 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Johannus Monday (2-0) grass Eastbourne 68 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Henry Searle (2-1) grass Eastbourne 136 min

Adrian Mannarino

  • Last Match: vs Andrey Rublev (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Valentin Royer (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Christopher O'Connell (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Li Tu (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (2-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
James Duckworth
vs
1
Adrian Mannarino
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between James Duckworth and Adrian Mannarino is set in the Round of 32 at the Los Cabos tournament, taking place on hard courts in Mexico. Adrian Mannarino is favored to win with a probability of 62.02%, compared to James Duckworth's 37.98%. The predicted total number of games played in this encounter is approximately 23.

Match Analysis

James Duckworth is currently ranked 103, while Adrian Mannarino holds a slightly lower rank at 123. Duckworth has a form index of 30.70, indicating a dip in recent performance, whereas Mannarino boasts a much stronger form index of 86.58. In terms of Elo ratings, Duckworth stands at 494.51, significantly lower than Mannarino's 624.57, highlighting Mannarino's superior competitive consistency. Fatigue levels are equal for both players at 0.0, ensuring they will both enter the match fresh. On hard surfaces, Duckworth has a surface strength index of 4.62, while Mannarino shows better adaptability with an index of 6.43. Notably, Mannarino's mean return index of 87.17 surpasses Duckworth's 83.89 by more than 5 points, suggesting a potential advantage in returning serves. In their last three matches, Duckworth has struggled, winning only one out of three, with his latest outing resulting in a loss against Felix Auger-Aliassime at Wimbledon. Conversely, Mannarino has shown a mixed performance, winning two out of three, although he faced a defeat against Andrey Rublev in his last match. This inconsistency could affect both players, but Mannarino's overall recent form appears more robust.

Final Prediction

Adrian Mannarino holds a clear edge heading into this match, attributed to his stronger form index and superior Elo rating. A critical factor to watch will be Mannarino's return game, as his higher mean return index may lead to crucial breaks against Duckworth's service games.