James Duckworth vs Mariano Navone: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

The model’s edge for Navone is driven first by age, which contributes 4.3 percentage points toward him, and by his stronger overall record and opposition quality, which add another 3.6 points. Those model drivers align with Navone’s higher Elo (1713) and superior ranking (44) compared with Duckworth (Elo 1573, rank 86). Recent form also nudges the prediction toward Navone, with recent record by level contributing 2.9 points in his favor. Duckworth earns a smaller boost from serve and return factors, adding 3.8 percentage points to his chance. He posts an elite mean serve index (96.54) and a solid mean return index (86.58). Navone’s mean serve index is 95.24 and his mean return index is 89.50. Fatigue is a notable contrast: Duckworth arrives with 71 minutes on court in the event, while Navone shows zero minutes of accumulated fatigue. Both players show modest surface strength indices on hard courts (Duckworth 17.17, Navone 13.83). Over the last three matches Duckworth is 2-1 with a recent straight sets win at Winston Salem and a long three setter in Cincinnati. Navone is 1-2 in his last three, with a solid win over Raphael Collignon and two losses to higher rated opponents.