James Duckworth vs Rafael Jodar: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

On paper the gulf is substantial: Jodar sits at world No. 29 with an Elo of 1880, while Duckworth is No. 83 with an Elo around 1500. Jodar’s form index (68.3) is markedly higher than Duckworth’s (24.3), and his surface strength index (34.8) also outpaces Duckworth’s modest 9.1, suggesting Jodar is both playing better recently and is more at ease on clay. Fatigue is a factor to monitor — Duckworth arrives with no accumulated minutes in this event, whereas Jodar has 174 minutes on court in the tournament so far. Both players bring strong serving profiles: Duckworth’s mean serve index is 96.43 and Jodar’s 93.99, so neither enjoys a decisive edge on serve by that metric. However Duckworth’s mean return index (91.67) is notably better than Jodar’s (85.10), a difference exceeding five points and indicating Duckworth can pose more consistent pressure on Jodar’s service games. Recent form diverges: Duckworth is 1–2 across his last three matches (all on clay in Geneva) with a long three-set win earlier, while Jodar is 2–1 with a commanding straight-sets 3–0 victory at Roland Garros in his most recent outing and a heavy 3-set loss in Rome.