Wimbledon Great Britain Grass Grand Slam Semifinals

Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic Prediction

Jannik Sinner

Rank: #1
73%
VS

Novak Djokovic

Rank: #6
27%
Predicted Games Played: 35.0
Predicted Winner: Jannik Sinner

Ranking Trends

Jannik Sinner

  • Current Rank: #1 (2025-06-30)
  • 3 Months Ago: #1 (2025-03-31)
  • 6 Months Ago: #1 (2024-12-30)
  • 9 Months Ago: #1 (2024-09-30)
  • 12 Months Ago: #1 (2024-07-01)

Novak Djokovic

  • Current Rank: #6 (2025-06-30)
  • 3 Months Ago: #5 (2025-03-31)
  • 6 Months Ago: #7 (2024-12-30)
  • 9 Months Ago: #4 (2024-09-30)
  • 12 Months Ago: #2 (2024-07-01)

Player Metrics

Jannik Sinner

Form Index: 94.2
ELO Rating: 11447.3
Glicko2 Rating: 2155.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 870.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 100.0
Clay: 97.8
Grass: 98.9
Serve Rating: 97.7
Return Rating: 88.9

Novak Djokovic

Form Index: 99.1
ELO Rating: 3511.9
Glicko2 Rating: 2558.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 870.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 31.3
Clay: 31.2
Grass: 33.5
Serve Rating: 95.1
Return Rating: 87.3

Recent Matches

Jannik Sinner
✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Ben Shelton (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Grigor Dimitrov (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Pedro Martinez (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Aleksandar Vukic (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Luca Nardi (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Novak Djokovic
✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Flavio Cobolli (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Alex de Minaur (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Miomir Kecmanovic (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Daniel Evans (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Alexandre Muller (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

3
Jannik Sinner
vs
0
Novak Djokovic
Hard
2 - 0
Clay
1 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

As the semifinals of Wimbledon approach, Jannik Sinner and Novak Djokovic are set to clash on the prestigious grass courts of Great Britain. With Sinner currently holding the top rank and a high form index, he is predicted to emerge victorious with a probability of 73.45%. Djokovic trails behind with a 26.55% chance of winning, while the anticipated total number of games played is estimated at 35.

Match Analysis

Jannik Sinner, ranked 1, boasts an impressive form index of 94.17 and an Elo rating of 11,447.28, demonstrating his exceptional capabilities on grass this season. His cumulative fatigue is at 870 minutes, indicating a consistent level of play throughout the tournament. In contrast, Novak Djokovic, ranked 6, has a slightly higher form index of 99.14 but a significantly lower Elo rating of 3,511.89. Both players share the same fatigue level, but Sinner's surface strength index, at 98.92, far surpasses Djokovic’s index of 33.49. Notably, Sinner's mean serve index (97.67) exceeds Djokovic's by more than 5 points, highlighting a potential advantage in serve effectiveness. Over their last three matches, Sinner has demonstrated formidable performance, winning against Ben Shelton and Pedro Martinez in straight sets, although he faced a challenging match against Grigor Dimitrov. Djokovic also maintained his winning streak, overcoming Flavio Cobolli and Alex de Minaur, but faced a minor setback in losing a set to Cobolli. Both players are in good form, but Sinner's recent performances showcase a higher level of dominance.

Final Prediction

Jannik Sinner's combination of a superior surface strength index and mean serve index suggests he has a clear edge over Djokovic in this semifinal matchup. Fans should pay close attention to Sinner's serving game, as it could be a decisive factor in his pursuit of a spot in the finals.