Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 64

Jenson Brooksby vs Flavio Cobolli Prediction

Jenson Brooksby

Rank: #91
36%
VS

Flavio Cobolli

Rank: #26
64%
Predicted Games Played: 36.0
Predicted Winner: Flavio Cobolli

Ranking Trends

Jenson Brooksby

  • Current Rank: #91 (2025-08-18)
  • 3 Months Ago: #161 (2025-05-26)
  • 6 Months Ago: #1098 (2025-02-17)
  • 9 Months Ago: #1000 (None)
  • 12 Months Ago: #1000 (None)

Flavio Cobolli

  • Current Rank: #26 (2025-08-18)
  • 3 Months Ago: #26 (2025-05-26)
  • 6 Months Ago: #39 (2025-02-24)
  • 9 Months Ago: #32 (2024-11-25)
  • 12 Months Ago: #31 (2024-08-26)

Player Metrics

Jenson Brooksby

Form Index: 58.8
ELO Rating: 1012.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1595.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 3.6
Clay: 4.9
Grass: 4.1
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 88.3

Flavio Cobolli

Form Index: 58.4
ELO Rating: 1338.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1659.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.6
Clay: 13.1
Grass: 11.8
Serve Rating: 95.3
Return Rating: 88.2

Recent Matches

Jenson Brooksby
✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Aleksandar Vukic (3-2) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Karen Khachanov (0-2) hard Cincinnati 84 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Arthur Cazaux (2-0) hard Cincinnati 113 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Alexandre Muller (2-1) hard Cincinnati 159 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Corentin Moutet (0-2) hard Toronto 73 min

Flavio Cobolli
✅ ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Francesco Passaro (3-2) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Terence Atmane (1-2) hard Cincinnati 134 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Ben Shelton (1-2) hard Toronto 144 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Fabian Marozsan (2-1) hard Toronto 110 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Alexis Galarneau (2-1) hard Toronto 148 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Jenson Brooksby
vs
0
Flavio Cobolli
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming matchup between Jenson Brooksby and Flavio Cobolli at the 2025 US Open is set to be an engaging contest in the Round of 64 on hard courts in New York. Cobolli is predicted to emerge victorious, with a probability of winning at 63.95%, compared to Brooksby’s 36.05%. The anticipated total number of games played is estimated at 36.

Match Analysis

Brooksby, currently ranked 91, has a form index of 58.81 and an Elo rating of 1012.23, indicating he has been struggling to find his rhythm. His cumulative fatigue stands at 174 minutes, which suggests he has been on the court for an extended period. Notably, his surface strength index is 3.62, while his mean serve index of 95.64 and mean return index of 88.35 show his potential but also highlight that he might not be at his peak performance level. In contrast, Flavio Cobolli, ranked 26 with an Elo rating of 1338.79, boasts a slightly lower form index of 58.36 but possesses a higher surface strength index of 9.63. His mean serve index of 95.28 and mean return index of 88.17 are relatively comparable to Brooksby, with no significant differences exceeding 5 points. Both players have shown resilience in their recent matches, with Cobolli winning against Francesco Passaro in his last outing, while Brooksby managed a hard-fought win over Aleksandar Vukic. However, Cobolli has had a challenging run, losing two of his last three matches, which could play a role in his performance.

Final Prediction

Flavio Cobolli's higher ranking and Elo rating provide him with a significant advantage going into this match. His better surface strength index further supports his capabilities on hard courts, making him the likely favorite. A key factor to watch will be how both players manage their fatigue, given that both have accumulated the same amount of cumulative fatigue.