Roland Garros France Clay Grand Slam Round of 128

Jesper de Jong vs Francesco Passaro Prediction

Jesper de Jong

Rank: #93
50%
VS

Francesco Passaro

Rank: #101
50%
Predicted Games Played: 36.0
Predicted Winner: Jesper de Jong

Player Metrics

Jesper de Jong

Form Index: 42.7
ELO Rating: 750.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1568.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.9
Clay: 6.6
Grass: 4.3
Serve Rating: 97.6
Return Rating: 87.6

Francesco Passaro

Form Index: 55.9
ELO Rating: 775.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1559.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.0
Clay: 6.3
Grass: 4.6
Serve Rating: 95.0
Return Rating: 88.5

Recent Matches

Jesper de Jong

  • Last Match: vs Jannik Sinner (0-2) clay Rome 93 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (1-0) clay Rome 66 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Alexander Shevchenko (2-0) clay Rome 86 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Thiago Seyboth Wild (0-2) clay Rome 120 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Harold Mayot (2-0) clay Rome 87 min

Francesco Passaro

  • Last Match: vs Karen Khachanov (0-2) clay Rome 61 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Grigor Dimitrov (2-0) clay Rome 104 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Chun-Hsin Tseng (0-2) clay Rome 117 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Juan Bautista Torres (2-1) clay Buenos Aires 142 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Daniel Elahi Galan (2-0) clay Buenos Aires 85 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Jesper de Jong
vs
0
Francesco Passaro
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 128 at Roland Garros 2025, Jesper de Jong faces Francesco Passaro on the clay courts of France. With a closely contested matchup, Jesper de Jong is predicted to emerge victorious, holding a slight edge with a win probability of 50.13% over Passaro's 49.87%. The predicted total number of games played in this encounter is 36.0.

Match Analysis

Jesper de Jong currently holds a ranking of 93, while Francesco Passaro is positioned at 101. De Jong has a form index of 42.72 in contrast to Passaro's higher index of 55.88, indicating that Passaro has been performing better in recent matches. However, De Jong's Elo rating of 750.11 is slightly lower than Passaro's 775.58, suggesting a competitive edge in overall skill level. Both players exhibit a fatigue level of 0.0, indicating they are fresh for this match. Looking at their surface strength index, De Jong has a score of 6.65 compared to Passaro's 6.34, giving him a slight advantage on clay. Notably, De Jong has a mean serve index of 97.64, which exceeds Passaro's 95.00 by more than 5 points, while the mean return index is closely matched, with De Jong at 87.64 and Passaro at 88.50. Examining their recent performances, de Jong's last three matches include one win against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and two losses, one of which was against Jannik Sinner. He showed promise in his win, capturing the match in straight sets. Passaro's recent run includes a win against Grigor Dimitrov, but he also suffered a defeat to Karen Khachanov in his last outing. The inconsistency in Passaro’s performance may impact his confidence heading into the match.

Final Prediction

Jesper de Jong's slight edge in serve strength combined with a better surface performance index provides him with a favorable outlook in this match. A key factor to observe will be how effectively each player can leverage their serve, particularly de Jong's ability to dominate with his superior mean serve index on clay.