Jiri Lehecka vs Alejandro Tabilo: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Lehecka arrives as the higher-ranked player (No. 14) with a stronger Elo (1822.7) and a solid form index (62.4). He is fresh—no minutes of fatigue logged in the event—and posts a moderate surface strength on clay (44.8). Tabilo, ranked 43 with an Elo of 1693.5 and a slightly higher form index (65.6), carries 76 minutes of fatigue from earlier court time. Their surface strength indices are similar (Lehecka 44.80, Tabilo 41.72), suggesting neither has a clear clay-court dominance on paper. Serve and return profiles differ notably: Tabilo’s mean serve index (99.20) is markedly higher than Lehecka’s (83.08)—a gap larger than 5 points—and his mean return index (89.95) also exceeds Lehecka’s (62.18) by a wide margin. Those gaps favor Tabilo in short points and any service hold situations, but Lehecka’s superior rank, higher Elo and freshness help explain the overall edge in the prediction. Over their last three matches Lehecka has two clay wins (Monte Carlo, including a 2-1 victory over Tabilo) and a hard-court loss to a top opponent; his recent matches have been lengthy affairs. Tabilo recorded a quick win in Madrid in the first round, bookended by a loss in Munich and that Monte Carlo loss to Lehecka.